Points
40Points expected by the market
41.88Gap
−1.88Yield
−8.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.17 | −27.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 21 | −2.94 | −33.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.39 | +40.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.17 | +1.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.90 | +45.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 17 | −1.89 | −31.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.62 | +149.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.80 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.08 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.05 | −39.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.78 | +22.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.37 | +26.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stirling · Away3 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.58 |
| M2 | Stenhousemuir · Home10 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +1.03 |
| M3 | Brechin · Away17 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +2.27 |
| M4 | Elgin · Home24 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.87 | +1.40 |
| M5 | Cove Rangers · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.90 | +0.50 |
| M6 | Albion Rovers · Home14 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −0.24 |
| M7 | Cowdenbeath · Home21 Sep 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.74 | −1.98 |
| M8 | Edinburgh City · Away28 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.83 |
| M9 | Annan Athletic · Home5 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −4.43 |
| M10 | Elgin · Away26 Oct 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.14 | −5.58 |
| M11 | Stenhousemuir · Away2 Nov 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −4.01 |
| M12 | Brechin · Home9 Nov 2019 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.90 | −3.11 |
| M13 | Cowdenbeath · Away16 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −4.63 |
| M14 | Edinburgh City · Home30 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −3.01 |
| M15 | Albion Rovers · Away7 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −4.71 |
| M16 | Stirling · Home14 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −5.32 |
| M17 | Cove Rangers · Home21 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.80 | −6.12 |
| M18 | Annan Athletic · Away28 Dec 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −7.47 |
| M19 | Stenhousemuir · Home4 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | −6.40 |
| M20 | Edinburgh City · Away11 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.21 | −4.19 |
| M21 | Albion Rovers · Home25 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.85 | −5.04 |
| M22 | Cowdenbeath · Home1 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −3.68 |
| M23 | Stirling · Away8 Feb 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.65 | −2.03 |
| M24 | Elgin · Home15 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −0.66 |
| M25 | Cove Rangers · Away22 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.49 |
| M26 | Brechin · Away26 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.08 | −2.56 |
| M27 | Annan Athletic · Home29 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −1.29 |
| M28 | Stenhousemuir · Away7 Mar 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.59 | −1.88 |
| Total | 40 | −1.88 | |||