Points
29Points expected by the market
34.94Gap
−5.94Yield
−19.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −1.04 | −17.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 12 | −5.59 | −60.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 6 | +0.70 | +61.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 8 | −2.40 | −36.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 2 | −5.66 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.69 | +122.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +97.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | +0.07 | −30.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | +0.01 | +16.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Albion Rovers · Home3 Aug 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.88 | −1.88 |
| M2 | Queens Park · Away10 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −2.07 |
| M3 | Elgin · Away17 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.29 |
| M4 | Edinburgh City · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.72 |
| M5 | Annan Athletic · Away31 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −1.85 |
| M6 | Cowdenbeath · Home14 Sep 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.68 | −3.53 |
| M7 | Brechin · Home21 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −2.41 |
| M8 | Stirling · Away28 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | −2.73 |
| M9 | Cove Rangers · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.41 | −0.32 |
| M10 | Edinburgh City · Away29 Oct 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.20 |
| M11 | Queens Park · Home2 Nov 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.29 | −2.49 |
| M12 | Albion Rovers · Away9 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −3.99 |
| M13 | Brechin · Away30 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.35 | −2.64 |
| M14 | Elgin · Home3 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.12 | −2.76 |
| M15 | Annan Athletic · Home7 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −4.01 |
| M16 | Cove Rangers · Away14 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.45 | −4.46 |
| M17 | Cowdenbeath · Away21 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −5.66 |
| M18 | Stirling · Home28 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −7.09 |
| M19 | Queens Park · Away4 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −7.92 |
| M20 | Brechin · Home11 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | −8.74 |
| M21 | Elgin · Away18 Jan 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.18 | −6.56 |
| M22 | Edinburgh City · Home25 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −7.58 |
| M23 | Annan Athletic · Away1 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −5.82 |
| M24 | Cowdenbeath · Home8 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.59 | −6.41 |
| M25 | Albion Rovers · Home15 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −4.96 |
| M26 | Cove Rangers · Home29 Feb 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −5.66 |
| M27 | Stirling · Away3 Mar 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −5.79 |
| M28 | Queens Park · Home7 Mar 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −5.94 |
| Total | 29 | −5.94 | |||