Points
25Points expected by the market
21.00Gap
+4.00Yield
+29.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +2.44 | +27.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | +2.56 | +41.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.52 | −43.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −0.15 | +29.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 9 | +3.96 | +115.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +2.71 | +50.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stenhousemuir · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.23 |
| M2 | Queens Park · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.41 | −1.64 |
| M3 | Brechin · Home31 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −3.09 |
| M4 | Annan Athletic · Away7 Nov 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.16 | −0.93 |
| M5 | Stirling · Home28 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −1.58 |
| M6 | Edinburgh City · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.42 | −2.00 |
| M7 | Elgin · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.38 | +0.39 |
| M8 | Stranraer · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −0.22 |
| M9 | Stenhousemuir · Away20 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −1.01 |
| M10 | Edinburgh City · Home23 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −1.65 |
| M11 | Annan Athletic · Home27 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | −1.87 |
| M12 | Queens Park · Home30 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.36 | −2.23 |
| M13 | Cowdenbeath · Away3 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −0.41 |
| M14 | Stirling · Away6 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.44 | +0.03 |
| M15 | Brechin · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.53 |
| M16 | Cowdenbeath · Home13 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +1.16 |
| M17 | Elgin · Away17 Apr 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +2.34 | +3.50 |
| M18 | Stranraer · Home20 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +2.61 |
| M19 | Annan Athletic · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +4.36 |
| M20 | Stenhousemuir · Away29 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +6.26 |
| M21 | Brechin · Home1 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | +5.25 |
| M22 | Cowdenbeath · Away4 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +4.00 |
| Total | 25 | +4.00 | |||