Points
21Points expected by the market
24.79Gap
−3.79Yield
−27.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −2.79 | −60.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.06 | −31.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 7 | −0.94 | −10.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −2.24 | −46.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.18 | −24.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.34 | −20.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.54 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | +0.13 | −36.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −0.60 | +0.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Annan Athletic · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.39 |
| M2 | Edinburgh City · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.23 | +0.84 |
| M3 | Stenhousemuir · Home31 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.53 |
| M4 | Stranraer · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.52 |
| M5 | Elgin · Away28 Nov 2020 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.81 | −1.33 |
| M6 | Queens Park · Home5 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −2.07 |
| M7 | Stirling · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | −2.85 |
| M8 | Brechin · Home19 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | −1.80 |
| M9 | Annan Athletic · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −1.96 |
| M10 | Stranraer · Home27 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −1.93 |
| M11 | Edinburgh City · Home30 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.83 |
| M12 | Albion Rovers · Home3 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −4.37 |
| M13 | Queens Park · Away6 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.31 | −4.68 |
| M14 | Stenhousemuir · Away8 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −5.61 |
| M15 | Elgin · Home10 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −3.55 |
| M16 | Albion Rovers · Away13 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −3.89 |
| M17 | Stirling · Home17 Apr 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.79 | −4.68 |
| M18 | Brechin · Away20 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −5.23 |
| M19 | Stenhousemuir · Away24 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −3.37 |
| M20 | Brechin · Home27 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −5.12 |
| M21 | Annan Athletic · Away1 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −5.31 |
| M22 | Albion Rovers · Home4 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −3.79 |
| Total | 21 | −3.79 | |||