Points
38Points expected by the market
34.90Gap
+3.10Yield
+9.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 12 | +2.98 | +34.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 7 | −5.50 | −47.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 18 | +8.17 | +115.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.56 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.26 | +25.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 4 | −4.99 | −61.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.56 | +54.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.88 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.72 | +42.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.51 | −14.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 12 | +6.61 | +161.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.68 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brechin · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +0.89 |
| M2 | Cowdenbeath · Home24 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.01 | −1.12 |
| M3 | Elgin · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +0.44 |
| M4 | Stenhousemuir · Away7 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −1.20 |
| M5 | Stranraer · Home21 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | −2.90 |
| M6 | Annan Athletic · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −1.42 |
| M7 | Albion Rovers · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.58 | −0.84 |
| M8 | Queens Park · Away12 Dec 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.72 |
| M9 | Stirling · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −2.26 |
| M10 | Elgin · Away20 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −0.61 |
| M11 | Albion Rovers · Away23 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +0.22 |
| M12 | Stenhousemuir · Home27 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +1.53 |
| M13 | Cowdenbeath · Away30 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +2.67 |
| M14 | Annan Athletic · Home6 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.06 | +1.61 |
| M15 | Stranraer · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +3.32 |
| M16 | Brechin · Home13 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.68 | +4.00 |
| M17 | Queens Park · Home17 Apr 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.88 | +3.12 |
| M18 | Stirling · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +4.89 |
| M19 | Stirling · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | +3.38 |
| M20 | Queens Park · Away29 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.84 | +2.54 |
| M21 | Elgin · Home1 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +4.06 |
| M22 | Stranraer · Away4 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +3.10 |
| Total | 38 | +3.10 | |||