Points
38Points expected by the market
33.88Gap
+4.12Yield
+23.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 6 | −2.99 | −35.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +1.50 | +26.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 19 | +3.14 | +33.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.46 | +81.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.58 | −40.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.33 | +68.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.18 | +37.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 3 | −1.41 | −31.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.83 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.96 | +29.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.46 | +81.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stranraer · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +1.72 |
| M2 | Brechin · Home24 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.55 | +2.28 |
| M3 | Edinburgh City · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +0.99 |
| M4 | Queens Park · Home7 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.16 |
| M5 | Stirling · Away21 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.50 |
| M6 | Cowdenbeath · Home28 Nov 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.05 | +2.55 |
| M7 | Annan Athletic · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +3.54 |
| M8 | Albion Rovers · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.20 | +1.34 |
| M9 | Stenhousemuir · Home19 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +2.63 |
| M10 | Edinburgh City · Home20 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +1.27 |
| M11 | Stirling · Home27 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.82 |
| M12 | Brechin · Away30 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +1.61 |
| M13 | Annan Athletic · Away3 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +3.19 |
| M14 | Stranraer · Home6 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +4.82 |
| M15 | Cowdenbeath · Away10 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | +2.99 |
| M16 | Stenhousemuir · Away13 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.54 |
| M17 | Albion Rovers · Home17 Apr 2021 | L 2-5 | 0 | −2.13 | −0.59 |
| M18 | Queens Park · Away20 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.47 | −0.12 |
| M19 | Stranraer · Away27 Apr 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +1.87 |
| M20 | Stirling · Home29 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +3.53 |
| M21 | Edinburgh City · Away1 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +2.27 |
| M22 | Queens Park · Home4 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.85 | +4.12 |
| Total | 38 | +4.12 | |||