Points
26Points expected by the market
30.75Gap
−4.75Yield
−32.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.59 | +23.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −2.25 | −23.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −0.64 | −25.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.46 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.59 | +23.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −2.69 | −32.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 8 | +2.95 | +50.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.62 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.44 | 0.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −3.59 | −68.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.84 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Albion Rovers · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.49 |
| M2 | Stirling · Home24 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +1.14 |
| M3 | Cowdenbeath · Away31 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +0.72 |
| M4 | Edinburgh City · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +2.63 |
| M5 | Annan Athletic · Home21 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.69 | +0.94 |
| M6 | Queens Park · Away28 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.80 | +0.14 |
| M7 | Brechin · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.59 | +0.73 |
| M8 | Stranraer · Home12 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +0.41 |
| M9 | Elgin · Away19 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.63 |
| M10 | Albion Rovers · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +0.40 |
| M11 | Edinburgh City · Away27 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.64 |
| M12 | Stirling · Away30 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −1.73 |
| M13 | Brechin · Away6 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.91 | −2.64 |
| M14 | Cowdenbeath · Home8 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −1.45 |
| M15 | Queens Park · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −2.07 |
| M16 | Elgin · Home13 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −0.36 |
| M17 | Stranraer · Away15 Apr 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.09 | −1.45 |
| M18 | Annan Athletic · Away20 Apr 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.32 | −2.77 |
| M19 | Cowdenbeath · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −4.35 |
| M20 | Annan Athletic · Away27 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −4.47 |
| M21 | Albion Rovers · Home29 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | −6.11 |
| M22 | Brechin · Away4 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −4.75 |
| Total | 26 | −4.75 | |||