Points
38Points expected by the market
34.15Gap
+3.85Yield
+7.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.15 | +31.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +3.51 | +29.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −1.96 | −26.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.14 | +37.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.36 | +29.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +3.15 | +46.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −3.31 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +37.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.36 | −14.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.36 | +9.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.20 | +106.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Elgin · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.45 | −1.45 |
| M2 | Annan Athletic · Away24 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −1.78 |
| M3 | Queens Park · Home31 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −2.84 |
| M4 | Cowdenbeath · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −1.55 |
| M5 | Edinburgh City · Away21 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +0.39 |
| M6 | Brechin · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +1.18 |
| M7 | Stirling · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.46 | +0.71 |
| M8 | Stenhousemuir · Away12 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.28 |
| M9 | Albion Rovers · Home19 Dec 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.80 | +1.08 |
| M10 | Annan Athletic · Home2 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +2.09 |
| M11 | Queens Park · Away20 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.87 | +1.22 |
| M12 | Brechin · Home23 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.56 | +1.79 |
| M13 | Cowdenbeath · Away27 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | +1.01 |
| M14 | Elgin · Away6 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −0.35 |
| M15 | Edinburgh City · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.75 |
| M16 | Stirling · Away13 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +0.10 |
| M17 | Stenhousemuir · Home15 Apr 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.47 |
| M18 | Albion Rovers · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +2.60 |
| M19 | Queens Park · Away23 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +4.67 |
| M20 | Elgin · Home27 Apr 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.74 | +2.92 |
| M21 | Stirling · Away1 May 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | +2.61 |
| M22 | Edinburgh City · Home4 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +3.85 |
| Total | 38 | +3.85 | |||