Points
29Points expected by the market
38.62Gap
−9.62Yield
−30.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.19 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 14 | −6.17 | −44.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 15 | −0.27 | −9.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.19 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −3.10 | −43.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.24 | −41.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −3.07 | −46.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 11 | +0.97 | +7.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kelty Hearts · Away31 Jul 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −0.56 |
| M2 | Elgin · Home7 Aug 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.14 |
| M3 | Stenhousemuir · Away21 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.95 |
| M4 | Annan Athletic · Home28 Aug 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.63 | −0.69 |
| M5 | Stranraer · Home31 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −2.20 |
| M6 | Albion Rovers · Away11 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −3.55 |
| M7 | Forfar · Home18 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −3.67 |
| M8 | Stirling · Away25 Sep 2021 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.79 | −4.46 |
| M9 | Edinburgh City · Away1 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −4.43 |
| M10 | Stenhousemuir · Home16 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −5.89 |
| M11 | Annan Athletic · Away30 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −6.86 |
| M12 | Kelty Hearts · Home6 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.59 | −7.44 |
| M13 | Elgin · Away13 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −8.54 |
| M14 | Forfar · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −9.29 |
| M15 | Stirling · Home4 Dec 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | −7.35 |
| M16 | Stranraer · Away11 Dec 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −8.31 |
| M17 | Albion Rovers · Home18 Dec 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.34 | −8.65 |
| M18 | Edinburgh City · Home22 Dec 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −10.21 |
| M19 | Annan Athletic · Home8 Jan 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.97 | −11.18 |
| M20 | Stenhousemuir · Away15 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.14 | −9.04 |
| M21 | Stranraer · Home22 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −10.26 |
| M22 | Albion Rovers · Away29 Jan 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −8.41 |
| M23 | Elgin · Home19 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −6.64 |
| M24 | Kelty Hearts · Away22 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.42 | −7.06 |
| M25 | Edinburgh City · Away25 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −8.19 |
| M26 | Kelty Hearts · Home5 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.55 | −8.74 |
| M27 | Stirling · Away8 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −9.88 |
| M28 | Stranraer · Away12 Mar 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −10.94 |
| M29 | Forfar · Home15 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −11.98 |
| M30 | Stenhousemuir · Home19 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −12.02 |
| M31 | Forfar · Away26 Mar 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −11.84 |
| M32 | Stirling · Home2 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −12.02 |
| M33 | Annan Athletic · Away9 Apr 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.07 | −9.95 |
| M34 | Edinburgh City · Home16 Apr 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −10.30 |
| M35 | Elgin · Away23 Apr 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.06 | −8.24 |
| M36 | Albion Rovers · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −9.62 |
| Total | 29 | −9.62 | |||