Points
39Points expected by the market
42.75Gap
−3.75Yield
−6.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −0.36 | +7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 24 | −2.37 | −6.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 9 | −1.02 | −12.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −0.36 | +7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 14 | −1.39 | −10.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.78 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −0.98 | −1.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 8 | −0.23 | +6.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stenhousemuir · Away30 Jul 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −0.99 |
| M2 | Dumbarton · Home6 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.12 |
| M3 | East Fife · Home13 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −3.47 |
| M4 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.32 | −1.15 |
| M5 | Annan Athletic · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.29 | −1.45 |
| M6 | Stirling · Away3 Sep 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | −1.31 |
| M7 | Forfar · Home17 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −2.54 |
| M8 | Stranraer · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −3.64 |
| M9 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home8 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | −1.88 |
| M10 | Elgin · Away11 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.86 |
| M11 | Dumbarton · Away15 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | −2.85 |
| M12 | Stenhousemuir · Home29 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −3.04 |
| M13 | Stirling · Home5 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.20 | −2.84 |
| M14 | East Fife · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.83 | −1.01 |
| M15 | Stranraer · Home19 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.62 |
| M16 | Forfar · Away3 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −0.58 |
| M17 | Annan Athletic · Away23 Dec 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.89 | −1.47 |
| M18 | Dumbarton · Home31 Dec 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.46 |
| M19 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away7 Jan 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −0.73 |
| M20 | Stranraer · Away14 Jan 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.12 |
| M21 | Forfar · Home28 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.28 |
| M22 | Elgin · Away4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −0.68 |
| M23 | East Fife · Home11 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −2.30 |
| M24 | Stenhousemuir · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −3.58 |
| M25 | Elgin · Home21 Feb 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −2.13 |
| M26 | Annan Athletic · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −3.26 |
| M27 | Stirling · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −4.12 |
| M28 | Dumbarton · Away18 Mar 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.97 | −2.15 |
| M29 | Stranraer · Home21 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −3.62 |
| M30 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home25 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −5.24 |
| M31 | Forfar · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −6.48 |
| M32 | Elgin · Home8 Apr 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −5.05 |
| M33 | Annan Athletic · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.96 | −6.01 |
| M34 | Stenhousemuir · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −4.33 |
| M35 | East Fife · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.49 |
| M36 | Stirling · Home6 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −3.75 |
| Total | 39 | −3.75 | |||