Points
51Points expected by the market
53.44Gap
−2.44Yield
−8.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 28 | +0.63 | −6.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 20 | −5.33 | −32.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.26 | +423.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 22 | −0.51 | −15.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | −0.04 | −4.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.14 | +32.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 13 | −5.28 | −43.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.26 | +423.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stranraer · Away30 Jul 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.50 |
| M2 | Stenhousemuir · Home6 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +0.02 |
| M3 | Dumbarton · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.20 |
| M4 | Stirling · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −2.68 |
| M5 | Albion Rovers · Away27 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −3.11 |
| M6 | Forfar · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −1.49 |
| M7 | East Fife · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −2.03 |
| M8 | Elgin · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.31 | −3.33 |
| M9 | Stenhousemuir · Away8 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −3.45 |
| M10 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away11 Oct 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −4.73 |
| M11 | Stranraer · Home15 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | −5.32 |
| M12 | Dumbarton · Home29 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −6.65 |
| M13 | Forfar · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −4.84 |
| M14 | Stirling · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.26 | −2.59 |
| M15 | Elgin · Home19 Nov 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.71 | −4.29 |
| M16 | Stranraer · Away26 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −4.57 |
| M17 | East Fife · Away3 Dec 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −2.89 |
| M18 | Albion Rovers · Home23 Dec 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.14 | −1.75 |
| M19 | Forfar · Home7 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −3.42 |
| M20 | Elgin · Away14 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −3.78 |
| M21 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home21 Jan 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.48 |
| M22 | East Fife · Home28 Jan 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −1.20 |
| M23 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away4 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +0.10 |
| M24 | Dumbarton · Away11 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.16 |
| M25 | Stirling · Home18 Feb 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | −1.54 |
| M26 | Albion Rovers · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −0.14 |
| M27 | Stenhousemuir · Home4 Mar 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.66 | −1.80 |
| M28 | Elgin · Home11 Mar 2023 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −0.58 |
| M29 | Forfar · Away18 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.99 |
| M30 | Stranraer · Home25 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.90 | −2.89 |
| M31 | East Fife · Away1 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −1.29 |
| M32 | Dumbarton · Home8 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.02 |
| M33 | Albion Rovers · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +1.22 |
| M34 | Stirling · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.03 |
| M35 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home29 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.92 | −0.89 |
| M36 | Stenhousemuir · Away6 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −2.44 |
| Total | 51 | −2.44 | |||