Points
42Points expected by the market
45.23Gap
−3.23Yield
−19.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.10 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.81 | −37.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 38 | +5.73 | +8.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 1 | −5.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.10 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.27 | −6.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +0.17 | −7.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.99 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.54 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +5.56 | +26.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −3.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Forfar · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.61 |
| M2 | East Fife · Away6 Aug 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +3.18 |
| M3 | Stranraer · Away13 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | +2.68 |
| M4 | Albion Rovers · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.10 | +0.58 |
| M5 | Stirling · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +2.06 |
| M6 | Elgin · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | +0.51 |
| M7 | Dumbarton · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −0.49 |
| M8 | Stenhousemuir · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.52 | −2.02 |
| M9 | Albion Rovers · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −3.50 |
| M10 | Annan Athletic · Home11 Oct 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.94 |
| M11 | East Fife · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.51 | −3.46 |
| M12 | Stirling · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −4.16 |
| M13 | Elgin · Home5 Nov 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −5.53 |
| M14 | Forfar · Away12 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −5.65 |
| M15 | Stenhousemuir · Away19 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −5.76 |
| M16 | Dumbarton · Home3 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −5.92 |
| M17 | East Fife · Away10 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | −6.00 |
| M18 | Stranraer · Home23 Dec 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.74 | −4.26 |
| M19 | Albion Rovers · Home7 Jan 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.45 | −5.72 |
| M20 | Annan Athletic · Away21 Jan 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.06 | −6.78 |
| M21 | Dumbarton · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −7.53 |
| M22 | Annan Athletic · Home4 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −8.57 |
| M23 | Stranraer · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | −6.64 |
| M24 | Stirling · Home14 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −7.58 |
| M25 | Stenhousemuir · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −8.88 |
| M26 | Forfar · Home28 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −9.06 |
| M27 | Elgin · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −7.23 |
| M28 | Stirling · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −7.98 |
| M29 | East Fife · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −8.29 |
| M30 | Albion Rovers · Away25 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −6.40 |
| M31 | Stranraer · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −4.90 |
| M32 | Stenhousemuir · Away8 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.10 | −4.99 |
| M33 | Dumbarton · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −6.43 |
| M34 | Forfar · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −4.65 |
| M35 | Annan Athletic · Away29 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.16 | −4.49 |
| M36 | Elgin · Home6 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −3.23 |
| Total | 42 | −3.23 | |||