Points
62Points expected by the market
54.06Gap
+7.94Yield
+11.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 27 | +0.82 | −0.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 34 | +8.09 | +32.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.97 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 20 | +0.58 | −0.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +4.28 | +37.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.24 | −1.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +3.81 | +29.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.97 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stirling · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.43 |
| M2 | Albion Rovers · Away6 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +2.84 |
| M3 | Annan Athletic · Home13 Aug 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +4.34 |
| M4 | Stenhousemuir · Away20 Aug 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.68 | +6.02 |
| M5 | Elgin · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +7.16 |
| M6 | East Fife · Away3 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +8.88 |
| M7 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home17 Sep 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +10.15 |
| M8 | Stranraer · Away20 Sep 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.84 | +8.30 |
| M9 | Forfar · Away1 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +7.86 |
| M10 | Stirling · Away8 Oct 2022 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.15 | +6.70 |
| M11 | Albion Rovers · Home15 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | +5.96 |
| M12 | Annan Athletic · Away29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +7.56 |
| M13 | Stranraer · Home5 Nov 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +8.87 |
| M14 | Elgin · Away12 Nov 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +10.54 |
| M15 | Forfar · Home19 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | +9.78 |
| M16 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away3 Dec 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +9.20 |
| M17 | East Fife · Home24 Dec 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +10.41 |
| M18 | Albion Rovers · Away31 Dec 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +11.66 |
| M19 | Forfar · Away14 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | +10.21 |
| M20 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home28 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +11.19 |
| M21 | Stenhousemuir · Away4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +10.89 |
| M22 | Annan Athletic · Home11 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +12.42 |
| M23 | East Fife · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | +10.98 |
| M24 | Elgin · Home25 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.90 | +9.08 |
| M25 | Stenhousemuir · Home28 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +10.69 |
| M26 | Stranraer · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +12.24 |
| M27 | Albion Rovers · Home18 Mar 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.70 | +10.54 |
| M28 | Stirling · Away25 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | +10.62 |
| M29 | Forfar · Home29 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | +8.96 |
| M30 | Stenhousemuir · Home1 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.46 | +7.50 |
| M31 | Annan Athletic · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | +6.46 |
| M32 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away15 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +8.18 |
| M33 | Stirling · Home18 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +8.04 |
| M34 | East Fife · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +9.72 |
| M35 | Elgin · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +8.38 |
| M36 | Stranraer · Home6 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +7.94 |
| Total | 62 | +7.94 | |||