Points
50Points expected by the market
46.07Gap
+3.93Yield
+4.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +2.04 | +26.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 38 | +5.49 | +24.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −3.60 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +2.04 | +26.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −3.42 | −13.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 25 | +8.91 | +60.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −3.69 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Elgin · Away30 Jul 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.67 |
| M2 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home6 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.30 | +0.37 |
| M3 | Albion Rovers · Away13 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.00 |
| M4 | Forfar · Home20 Aug 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +3.75 |
| M5 | Stranraer · Away27 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | +3.44 |
| M6 | Dumbarton · Home3 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.99 |
| M7 | Annan Athletic · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +1.80 |
| M8 | Stenhousemuir · Home20 Sep 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +0.32 |
| M9 | Stirling · Home1 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.83 |
| M10 | Forfar · Away8 Oct 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.93 | +1.10 |
| M11 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away15 Oct 2022 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +2.89 |
| M12 | Elgin · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | +4.35 |
| M13 | Stenhousemuir · Away5 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | +4.28 |
| M14 | Albion Rovers · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.55 | +2.73 |
| M15 | Stirling · Away19 Nov 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +1.78 |
| M16 | Annan Athletic · Home3 Dec 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | +0.36 |
| M17 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home10 Dec 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | −0.30 |
| M18 | Dumbarton · Away24 Dec 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.25 |
| M19 | Elgin · Away7 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +0.58 |
| M20 | Stenhousemuir · Home14 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +0.14 |
| M21 | Stranraer · Home21 Jan 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −1.34 |
| M22 | Annan Athletic · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −2.36 |
| M23 | Stirling · Home4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.08 | −2.28 |
| M24 | Albion Rovers · Away11 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −0.39 |
| M25 | Dumbarton · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.31 |
| M26 | Stranraer · Away25 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +0.04 |
| M27 | Forfar · Home4 Mar 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.69 |
| M28 | Stenhousemuir · Away11 Mar 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +3.52 |
| M29 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +3.12 |
| M30 | Elgin · Home24 Mar 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +4.49 |
| M31 | Annan Athletic · Home1 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | +3.16 |
| M32 | Stirling · Away8 Apr 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.14 | +3.30 |
| M33 | Stranraer · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 8-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +4.81 |
| M34 | Dumbarton · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | +3.41 |
| M35 | Albion Rovers · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +4.83 |
| M36 | Forfar · Away6 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | +3.93 |
| Total | 50 | +3.93 | |||