Points
40Points expected by the market
43.96Gap
−3.96Yield
−12.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 3 | −3.40 | −54.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 24 | 30 | −0.42 | −10.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 7 | −0.14 | +1.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 3 | −3.40 | −54.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.66 | +1.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.85 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −2.09 | −24.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +0.71 | +16.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | East Fife · Home30 Jul 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.40 |
| M2 | Stirling · Away6 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −1.49 |
| M3 | Forfar · Away13 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | −1.50 |
| M4 | Stranraer · Home20 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | −1.90 |
| M5 | Dumbarton · Away27 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.79 |
| M6 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −0.98 |
| M7 | Stenhousemuir · Away17 Sep 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.12 | −1.10 |
| M8 | Annan Athletic · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +0.47 |
| M9 | Stranraer · Away8 Oct 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.80 | +2.27 |
| M10 | Albion Rovers · Home11 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +3.50 |
| M11 | Forfar · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | +2.11 |
| M12 | East Fife · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.91 |
| M13 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away5 Nov 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.54 |
| M14 | Dumbarton · Home12 Nov 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.40 | +1.14 |
| M15 | Annan Athletic · Away19 Nov 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.96 | +3.10 |
| M16 | Stenhousemuir · Home3 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +4.72 |
| M17 | Stirling · Home23 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | +3.41 |
| M18 | Forfar · Away2 Jan 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +5.20 |
| M19 | East Fife · Home7 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | +3.64 |
| M20 | Annan Athletic · Home14 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | +3.27 |
| M21 | Stenhousemuir · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +2.21 |
| M22 | Albion Rovers · Home4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.89 |
| M23 | Stranraer · Home18 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +0.37 |
| M24 | Albion Rovers · Away21 Feb 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.80 |
| M25 | Dumbarton · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.15 | +1.35 |
| M26 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home4 Mar 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −0.21 |
| M27 | Annan Athletic · Away11 Mar 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.97 | −1.18 |
| M28 | East Fife · Away24 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −2.28 |
| M29 | Stirling · Home1 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.13 |
| M30 | Stirling · Away4 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.55 | −3.68 |
| M31 | Albion Rovers · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −4.83 |
| M32 | Stenhousemuir · Home11 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −4.93 |
| M33 | Forfar · Home15 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −3.20 |
| M34 | Stranraer · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −4.61 |
| M35 | Dumbarton · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −2.99 |
| M36 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away6 May 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −3.96 |
| Total | 40 | −3.96 | |||