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← League Two 2022-23

Forfar

Season 2022-23 · 36 matches played

Last 5DLLLW

Points

48

Points expected by the market

50.10

Gap

−2.10

Yield

−8.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 11 15 18.05 −3.05 −29.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 22 32 29.23 +2.77 +13.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 3 1 2.82 −1.82 −100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Bonnyrigg Rose · Away30 Jul 2022 30 Jul 2022 L 0-2 2.59 1.34 0 −1.34 −1.34 −€1.00
M2 Stranraer · Home6 Aug 2022 6 Aug 2022 W 2-0 2.09 1.60 3 +1.40 +0.06 +€1.09
M3 Elgin · Home13 Aug 2022 13 Aug 2022 D 2-2 1.88 1.73 1 −0.73 −0.66 −€1.00
M4 East Fife · Away20 Aug 2022 20 Aug 2022 L 0-1 2.30 1.48 0 −1.48 −2.14 −€1.00
M5 Stenhousemuir · Home27 Aug 2022 27 Aug 2022 L 1-2 2.09 1.59 0 −1.59 −3.73 −€1.00
M6 Annan Athletic · Away3 Sep 2022 3 Sep 2022 L 1-2 2.56 1.35 0 −1.35 −5.09 −€1.00
M7 Albion Rovers · Away17 Sep 2022 17 Sep 2022 W 2-0 2.25 1.50 3 +1.50 −3.58 +€1.25
M8 Stirling · Home24 Sep 2022 24 Sep 2022 L 1-4 2.62 1.33 0 −1.33 −4.92 −€1.00
M9 Dumbarton · Home1 Oct 2022 1 Oct 2022 D 0-0 2.71 1.29 1 −0.29 −5.20 −€1.00
M10 East Fife · Home8 Oct 2022 8 Oct 2022 L 1-3 1.96 1.67 0 −1.67 −6.87 −€1.00
M11 Elgin · Away15 Oct 2022 15 Oct 2022 W 1-0 2.54 1.35 3 +1.65 −5.22 +€1.54
M12 Stranraer · Away29 Oct 2022 29 Oct 2022 L 0-1 2.63 1.32 0 −1.32 −6.53 −€1.00
M13 Annan Athletic · Home5 Nov 2022 5 Nov 2022 L 1-4 2.15 1.54 0 −1.54 −8.07 −€1.00
M14 Bonnyrigg Rose · Home12 Nov 2022 12 Nov 2022 D 1-1 2.05 1.61 1 −0.61 −8.68 −€1.00
M15 Dumbarton · Away19 Nov 2022 19 Nov 2022 D 2-2 3.81 0.98 1 +0.02 −8.66 −€1.00
M16 Albion Rovers · Home3 Dec 2022 3 Dec 2022 W 1-0 2.18 1.53 3 +1.47 −7.19 +€1.18
M17 Stenhousemuir · Away10 Dec 2022 10 Dec 2022 W 2-1 2.97 1.19 3 +1.81 −5.38 +€1.97
M18 Elgin · Home2 Jan 2023 2 Jan 2023 L 0-1 2.17 1.53 0 −1.53 −6.91 −€1.00
M19 Annan Athletic · Away7 Jan 2023 7 Jan 2023 W 2-0 3.41 1.07 3 +1.93 −4.98 +€2.41
M20 Dumbarton · Home14 Jan 2023 14 Jan 2023 W 2-1 2.79 1.27 3 +1.73 −3.24 +€1.79
M21 Albion Rovers · Away28 Jan 2023 28 Jan 2023 W 1-0 2.65 1.32 3 +1.68 −1.56 +€1.65
M22 Stranraer · Home4 Feb 2023 4 Feb 2023 W 2-1 1.78 1.81 3 +1.19 −0.37 +€0.78
M23 Stenhousemuir · Home11 Feb 2023 11 Feb 2023 D 1-1 2.06 1.60 1 −0.60 −0.97 −€1.00
M24 Stirling · Home25 Feb 2023 25 Feb 2023 D 0-0 2.82 1.26 1 −0.26 −1.23 −€1.00
M25 Bonnyrigg Rose · Away28 Feb 2023 28 Feb 2023 D 1-1 2.20 1.54 1 −0.54 −1.77 −€1.00
M26 East Fife · Away4 Mar 2023 4 Mar 2023 L 2-3 2.50 1.38 0 −1.38 −3.15 −€1.00
M27 Annan Athletic · Home18 Mar 2023 18 Mar 2023 W 2-1 2.66 1.31 3 +1.69 −1.46 +€1.66
M28 Stirling · Away21 Mar 2023 21 Mar 2023 L 0-2 4.55 0.86 0 −0.86 −2.32 −€1.00
M29 Stenhousemuir · Away25 Mar 2023 25 Mar 2023 D 1-1 3.15 1.14 1 −0.14 −2.46 −€1.00
M30 Dumbarton · Away29 Mar 2023 29 Mar 2023 W 1-0 3.44 1.07 3 +1.93 −0.53 +€2.44
M31 Albion Rovers · Home1 Apr 2023 1 Apr 2023 W 2-1 2.29 1.48 3 +1.52 +0.99 +€1.29
M32 Stranraer · Away8 Apr 2023 8 Apr 2023 D 0-0 2.64 1.33 1 −0.33 +0.66 −€1.00
M33 Elgin · Away15 Apr 2023 15 Apr 2023 L 0-2 2.39 1.44 0 −1.44 −0.78 −€1.00
M34 Bonnyrigg Rose · Home22 Apr 2023 22 Apr 2023 L 0-1 2.31 1.49 0 −1.49 −2.27 −€1.00
M35 Stirling · Away29 Apr 2023 29 Apr 2023 L 1-2 3.80 0.98 0 −0.98 −3.25 −€1.00
M36 East Fife · Home6 May 2023 6 May 2023 W 1-0 1.73 1.85 3 +1.15 −2.10 +€0.73
Total 50.10 48 −2.10 −€3.22