Points
47Points expected by the market
50.69Gap
−3.69Yield
−14.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 17 | −4.12 | −54.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 30 | +1.30 | +13.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.87 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 15 | −2.94 | −46.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.58 | +7.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.19 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 20 | +0.73 | +17.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.87 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Albion Rovers · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.25 |
| M2 | Annan Athletic · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +0.01 |
| M3 | Stirling · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −1.30 |
| M4 | Dumbarton · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.71 |
| M5 | Forfar · Away27 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.87 | −0.84 |
| M6 | Stranraer · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +0.59 |
| M7 | Elgin · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.62 | −0.03 |
| M8 | East Fife · Away20 Sep 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +1.73 |
| M9 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.52 |
| M10 | Annan Athletic · Home8 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | +2.89 |
| M11 | Stirling · Home15 Oct 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.29 | +1.60 |
| M12 | Albion Rovers · Away29 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.55 | +1.04 |
| M13 | East Fife · Home5 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | +0.36 |
| M14 | Stranraer · Away12 Nov 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.07 |
| M15 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home19 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −1.71 |
| M16 | Elgin · Away3 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −3.07 |
| M17 | Forfar · Home10 Dec 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −4.62 |
| M18 | Stirling · Away31 Dec 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −5.49 |
| M19 | Stranraer · Home7 Jan 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −3.99 |
| M20 | East Fife · Away14 Jan 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −4.30 |
| M21 | Elgin · Home28 Jan 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.99 |
| M22 | Dumbarton · Home4 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −3.41 |
| M23 | Forfar · Away11 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −3.55 |
| M24 | Albion Rovers · Home18 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.99 |
| M25 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away25 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −0.42 |
| M26 | Dumbarton · Away28 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.75 |
| M27 | Annan Athletic · Away4 Mar 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.92 | +0.17 |
| M28 | East Fife · Home11 Mar 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −1.40 |
| M29 | Forfar · Home25 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −1.99 |
| M30 | Dumbarton · Away1 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −0.25 |
| M31 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home8 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.89 |
| M32 | Elgin · Away11 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.63 | −1.52 |
| M33 | Stirling · Home15 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −2.69 |
| M34 | Albion Rovers · Away22 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −4.10 |
| M35 | Stranraer · Away29 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −5.50 |
| M36 | Annan Athletic · Home6 May 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −3.69 |
| Total | 47 | −3.69 | |||