Points
45Points expected by the market
45.23Gap
−0.23Yield
−6.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 3 | −3.45 | −49.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 37 | +3.75 | +5.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.53 | −31.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 3 | −3.45 | −49.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 25 | +9.11 | +57.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.06 | +106.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 12 | −5.36 | −38.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.59 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Annan Athletic · Home30 Jul 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.78 |
| M2 | Forfar · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +0.66 |
| M3 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home13 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.43 |
| M4 | Elgin · Away20 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | +0.09 |
| M5 | East Fife · Home27 Aug 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.32 |
| M6 | Stenhousemuir · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.48 |
| M7 | Stirling · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.49 |
| M8 | Dumbarton · Home20 Sep 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.09 | −0.40 |
| M9 | Albion Rovers · Home1 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +0.97 |
| M10 | Elgin · Home8 Oct 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −0.58 |
| M11 | Annan Athletic · Away15 Oct 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.75 |
| M12 | Forfar · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.84 |
| M13 | Dumbarton · Away5 Nov 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −0.22 |
| M14 | Stenhousemuir · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.68 | +1.46 |
| M15 | Albion Rovers · Away19 Nov 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | +0.11 |
| M16 | Annan Athletic · Home26 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −0.36 |
| M17 | Stirling · Home3 Dec 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.54 |
| M18 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away23 Dec 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | +0.07 |
| M19 | Stenhousemuir · Away7 Jan 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.18 |
| M20 | Albion Rovers · Home14 Jan 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.58 | −2.76 |
| M21 | East Fife · Away21 Jan 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −1.03 |
| M22 | Stirling · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | −1.81 |
| M23 | Forfar · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −2.74 |
| M24 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home11 Feb 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −4.42 |
| M25 | Elgin · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −2.62 |
| M26 | East Fife · Home25 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −1.07 |
| M27 | Dumbarton · Home4 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −2.35 |
| M28 | Stirling · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −2.38 |
| M29 | Albion Rovers · Away21 Mar 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −0.62 |
| M30 | Annan Athletic · Away25 Mar 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | −0.50 |
| M31 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away1 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.71 |
| M32 | Forfar · Home8 Apr 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −2.10 |
| M33 | East Fife · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-8 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.33 |
| M34 | Elgin · Home22 Apr 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.72 | −1.61 |
| M35 | Stenhousemuir · Home29 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +0.06 |
| M36 | Dumbarton · Away6 May 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −0.23 |
| Total | 45 | −0.23 | |||