Points
39Points expected by the market
47.11Gap
−8.11Yield
−36.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −2.36 | −35.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 23 | 27 | −1.95 | −23.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −3.80 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.71 | −13.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −4.81 | −56.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.07 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +2.86 | +12.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −3.80 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dumbarton · Home5 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.31 |
| M2 | Clyde · Away12 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.47 |
| M3 | Stranraer · Home19 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +0.92 |
| M4 | Forfar · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.68 |
| M5 | Elgin · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.15 | +3.84 |
| M6 | Peterhead · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +2.57 |
| M7 | Stenhousemuir · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | +1.23 |
| M8 | Spartans · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | +1.13 |
| M9 | Clyde · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.14 | +2.28 |
| M10 | Dumbarton · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.00 | +1.27 |
| M11 | Elgin · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −0.27 |
| M12 | Forfar · Home18 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −1.70 |
| M13 | East Fife · Home21 Nov 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.68 | −0.02 |
| M14 | Stenhousemuir · Away2 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −0.85 |
| M15 | Peterhead · Home9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −1.07 |
| M16 | Stranraer · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −2.45 |
| M17 | East Fife · Away22 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −0.58 |
| M18 | Clyde · Away6 Jan 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −2.11 |
| M19 | Dumbarton · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −2.35 |
| M20 | Forfar · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −2.46 |
| M21 | Stranraer · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −3.09 |
| M22 | Elgin · Home6 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −1.92 |
| M23 | East Fife · Home17 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −3.49 |
| M24 | Peterhead · Away20 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | −3.50 |
| M25 | Spartans · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −4.55 |
| M26 | Stenhousemuir · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −5.73 |
| M27 | Spartans · Home5 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −5.99 |
| M28 | Elgin · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −7.21 |
| M29 | Clyde · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −8.61 |
| M30 | Dumbarton · Away23 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −9.51 |
| M31 | Stranraer · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −9.70 |
| M32 | Peterhead · Home6 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | −9.93 |
| M33 | East Fife · Away13 Apr 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.91 | −8.02 |
| M34 | Spartans · Home20 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −9.54 |
| M35 | Stenhousemuir · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.21 | −9.75 |
| M36 | Forfar · Home4 May 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −8.11 |
| Total | 39 | −8.11 | |||