Points
38Points expected by the market
42.96Gap
−4.96Yield
−34.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 16 | +5.96 | +62.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 14 | −6.42 | −44.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 8 | −4.50 | −65.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.75 | +59.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −2.94 | −37.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −2.85 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.21 | +80.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 4 | −3.48 | −55.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | −1.65 | −56.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Spartans · Away5 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| M2 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home12 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.49 |
| M3 | Peterhead · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −2.67 |
| M4 | Stranraer · Away26 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.64 |
| M5 | Forfar · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −3.84 |
| M6 | East Fife · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −4.80 |
| M7 | Elgin · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.46 | −3.34 |
| M8 | Stenhousemuir · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.24 | −3.11 |
| M9 | Dumbarton · Home7 Oct 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.03 | −4.14 |
| M10 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −5.03 |
| M11 | Spartans · Home4 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −6.02 |
| M12 | Forfar · Away11 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.02 | −6.00 |
| M13 | East Fife · Home18 Nov 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.30 | −7.30 |
| M14 | Stranraer · Home9 Dec 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −7.65 |
| M15 | Peterhead · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −8.39 |
| M16 | Dumbarton · Away23 Dec 2023 | D 4-4 | 1 | +0.35 | −8.04 |
| M17 | Stenhousemuir · Home30 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −8.87 |
| M18 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home6 Jan 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.80 | −7.07 |
| M19 | East Fife · Away13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −7.13 |
| M20 | Spartans · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −7.01 |
| M21 | Elgin · Away30 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −8.53 |
| M22 | Peterhead · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −8.82 |
| M23 | Stranraer · Away10 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −10.10 |
| M24 | Dumbarton · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | −8.21 |
| M25 | Forfar · Home20 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −9.54 |
| M26 | Stenhousemuir · Away24 Feb 2024 | W 6-1 | 3 | +2.20 | −7.34 |
| M27 | Elgin · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −6.02 |
| M28 | Forfar · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −7.23 |
| M29 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −5.55 |
| M30 | Spartans · Home23 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.49 | −6.04 |
| M31 | Peterhead · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.07 | −7.11 |
| M32 | Stranraer · Home6 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −5.82 |
| M33 | Dumbarton · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −6.85 |
| M34 | Stenhousemuir · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | −7.45 |
| M35 | East Fife · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −6.16 |
| M36 | Elgin · Away4 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −4.96 |
| Total | 38 | −4.96 | |||