Points
57Points expected by the market
57.90Gap
−0.90Yield
−9.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 5 | −1.42 | −53.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 32 | +4.16 | +15.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 20 | −3.64 | −24.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 5 | −1.42 | −53.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 26 | +5.19 | +24.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 2 | −2.45 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 6 | −1.02 | −10.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −1.19 | −8.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away5 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.41 |
| M2 | Spartans · Home12 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.89 |
| M3 | Forfar · Home19 Aug 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.56 |
| M4 | Stenhousemuir · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.64 | +2.20 |
| M5 | East Fife · Home2 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +3.40 |
| M6 | Elgin · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.80 | +1.60 |
| M7 | Peterhead · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −0.02 |
| M8 | Stranraer · Home30 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.14 |
| M9 | Clyde · Away7 Oct 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +2.44 |
| M10 | Spartans · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +1.11 |
| M11 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home4 Nov 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +2.37 |
| M12 | East Fife · Away11 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +3.90 |
| M13 | Elgin · Home18 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +4.72 |
| M14 | Stenhousemuir · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | +3.24 |
| M15 | Forfar · Away16 Dec 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.57 | +4.81 |
| M16 | Clyde · Home23 Dec 2023 | D 4-4 | 1 | −1.14 | +3.67 |
| M17 | East Fife · Home6 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | +1.87 |
| M18 | Peterhead · Away9 Jan 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.33 | +0.53 |
| M19 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | +0.05 |
| M20 | Elgin · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +1.16 |
| M21 | Stenhousemuir · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.04 |
| M22 | Forfar · Home10 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.77 | −0.73 |
| M23 | Spartans · Home13 Feb 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | −1.39 |
| M24 | Clyde · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −3.03 |
| M25 | Stranraer · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −1.88 |
| M26 | Peterhead · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −0.48 |
| M27 | Stranraer · Away5 Mar 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.99 |
| M28 | East Fife · Away9 Mar 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.26 | −3.25 |
| M29 | Spartans · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.89 | −1.36 |
| M30 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home23 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −0.20 |
| M31 | Stenhousemuir · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.70 |
| M32 | Forfar · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +0.78 |
| M33 | Clyde · Home13 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.06 |
| M34 | Stranraer · Away20 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +1.56 |
| M35 | Elgin · Home27 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.09 | +0.46 |
| M36 | Peterhead · Away4 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −0.90 |
| Total | 57 | −0.90 | |||