Points
44Points expected by the market
48.66Gap
−4.66Yield
−22.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −2.57 | −13.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 23 | −1.22 | −24.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.87 | −33.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −2.57 | −13.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.43 | −66.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | +1.21 | −0.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.87 | −33.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Peterhead · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.73 | −1.73 |
| M2 | Stranraer · Away12 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.92 |
| M3 | Stenhousemuir · Home19 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −3.45 |
| M4 | Elgin · Away26 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −3.68 |
| M5 | Dumbarton · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −4.62 |
| M6 | Clyde · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −3.39 |
| M7 | Spartans · Away23 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | −3.40 |
| M8 | Forfar · Home30 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −3.88 |
| M9 | Stranraer · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.57 |
| M10 | Peterhead · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −3.65 |
| M11 | Dumbarton · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −4.91 |
| M12 | Clyde · Away18 Nov 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −3.33 |
| M13 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away21 Nov 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.39 | −4.72 |
| M14 | Elgin · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −3.55 |
| M15 | Stenhousemuir · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −4.49 |
| M16 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home22 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −6.09 |
| M17 | Forfar · Away30 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −6.27 |
| M18 | Dumbarton · Away6 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | −4.21 |
| M19 | Clyde · Home13 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −4.89 |
| M20 | Peterhead · Home20 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | −5.30 |
| M21 | Stranraer · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −3.49 |
| M22 | Spartans · Home30 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −4.81 |
| M23 | Elgin · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −6.27 |
| M24 | Stenhousemuir · Home10 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | −6.33 |
| M25 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away17 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −4.48 |
| M26 | Forfar · Home24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −4.92 |
| M27 | Spartans · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.90 | −3.02 |
| M28 | Dumbarton · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.54 | −1.47 |
| M29 | Peterhead · Away16 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −1.65 |
| M30 | Stranraer · Home23 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | −0.34 |
| M31 | Elgin · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.02 |
| M32 | Stenhousemuir · Away6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | +1.01 |
| M33 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.64 | −0.64 |
| M34 | Forfar · Away20 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −1.86 |
| M35 | Clyde · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −2.88 |
| M36 | Spartans · Home4 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.78 | −4.66 |
| Total | 44 | −4.66 | |||