Points
40Points expected by the market
36.62Gap
+3.38Yield
−5.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 25 | +8.24 | +56.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 15 | −4.86 | −40.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 22 | +7.50 | +52.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 8 | +1.61 | +20.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.74 | +74.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 7 | −6.47 | −67.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stranraer · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −1.34 |
| M2 | Forfar · Away12 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.19 | −1.15 |
| M3 | Spartans · Away19 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.98 |
| M4 | East Fife · Home26 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −2.47 |
| M5 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away2 Sep 2023 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.88 | −3.35 |
| M6 | Dumbarton · Home16 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.06 | −1.29 |
| M7 | Clyde · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −2.48 |
| M8 | Peterhead · Away30 Sep 2023 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.33 |
| M9 | Stenhousemuir · Home24 Oct 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | −3.21 |
| M10 | Stranraer · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −4.13 |
| M11 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −2.31 |
| M12 | Dumbarton · Away18 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | −2.93 |
| M13 | Forfar · Home21 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −1.18 |
| M14 | East Fife · Away9 Dec 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.08 |
| M15 | Spartans · Home16 Dec 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.97 |
| M16 | Stenhousemuir · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.50 | −3.47 |
| M17 | Peterhead · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.12 | −1.35 |
| M18 | Stranraer · Home6 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +0.40 |
| M19 | Forfar · Away13 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.50 |
| M20 | Dumbarton · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.36 |
| M21 | Clyde · Home30 Jan 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +0.44 |
| M22 | East Fife · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +2.17 |
| M23 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away6 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.26 |
| M24 | Spartans · Away10 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.24 | +3.50 |
| M25 | Stenhousemuir · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | +3.51 |
| M26 | Peterhead · Away24 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | +3.68 |
| M27 | Clyde · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +2.63 |
| M28 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home9 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +4.13 |
| M29 | Stranraer · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.93 | +6.06 |
| M30 | Forfar · Home23 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +5.61 |
| M31 | East Fife · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +4.54 |
| M32 | Spartans · Home6 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +4.19 |
| M33 | Stenhousemuir · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | +4.23 |
| M34 | Peterhead · Home20 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +4.01 |
| M35 | Dumbarton · Away27 Apr 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.31 | +4.32 |
| M36 | Clyde · Home4 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +3.38 |
| Total | 40 | +3.38 | |||