← League Two 2023-24

Forfar

Season 2023-24 · 36 matches played

Last 5LLWWL

Points

42

Points expected by the market

48.25

Gap

−6.25

Yield

−34.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 6 8 10.32 −2.32 −71.3%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 26 30 34.12 −4.12 −30.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches 4 4 3.81 +0.19 −6.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Stenhousemuir · Away5 Aug 2023 5 Aug 2023 D 0-0 2.89 1.22 1 −0.22 −0.22 −€1.00
M2 Elgin · Home12 Aug 2023 12 Aug 2023 D 0-0 1.60 1.95 1 −0.95 −1.17 −€1.00
M3 Dumbarton · Away19 Aug 2023 19 Aug 2023 L 1-3 3.07 1.17 0 −1.17 −2.34 −€1.00
M4 Bonnyrigg Rose · Home26 Aug 2023 26 Aug 2023 L 1-2 2.31 1.48 0 −1.48 −3.83 −€1.00
M5 Clyde · Away2 Sep 2023 2 Sep 2023 D 0-0 2.22 1.52 1 −0.52 −4.34 −€1.00
M6 Spartans · Home16 Sep 2023 16 Sep 2023 D 2-2 2.81 1.27 1 −0.27 −4.62 −€1.00
M7 Stranraer · Away23 Sep 2023 23 Sep 2023 W 2-0 3.08 1.18 3 +1.82 −2.80 +€2.08
M8 East Fife · Away30 Sep 2023 30 Sep 2023 D 1-1 2.93 1.23 1 −0.23 −3.03 −€1.00
M9 Peterhead · Home7 Oct 2023 7 Oct 2023 L 1-3 2.63 1.33 0 −1.33 −4.36 −€1.00
M10 Stenhousemuir · Home4 Nov 2023 4 Nov 2023 L 1-3 2.78 1.27 0 −1.27 −5.64 −€1.00
M11 Clyde · Home11 Nov 2023 11 Nov 2023 D 1-1 1.84 1.76 1 −0.76 −6.40 −€1.00
M12 Bonnyrigg Rose · Away18 Nov 2023 18 Nov 2023 W 2-0 2.76 1.28 3 +1.72 −4.68 +€1.76
M13 Elgin · Away21 Nov 2023 21 Nov 2023 L 0-1 2.38 1.45 0 −1.45 −6.13 −€1.00
M14 Stranraer · Home2 Dec 2023 2 Dec 2023 D 1-1 2.09 1.61 1 −0.61 −6.74 −€1.00
M15 Spartans · Away9 Dec 2023 9 Dec 2023 L 0-1 3.28 1.11 0 −1.11 −7.85 −€1.00
M16 Dumbarton · Home16 Dec 2023 16 Dec 2023 L 2-4 2.76 1.28 0 −1.28 −9.13 −€1.00
M17 Peterhead · Away23 Dec 2023 23 Dec 2023 W 2-1 3.74 1.01 3 +1.99 −7.14 +€2.74
M18 East Fife · Home30 Dec 2023 30 Dec 2023 D 0-0 2.17 1.54 1 −0.54 −7.69 −€1.00
M19 Stenhousemuir · Away6 Jan 2024 6 Jan 2024 L 1-2 4.83 0.81 0 −0.81 −8.50 −€1.00
M20 Elgin · Home13 Jan 2024 13 Jan 2024 W 2-1 1.72 1.85 3 +1.15 −7.35 +€0.72
M21 Bonnyrigg Rose · Home27 Jan 2024 27 Jan 2024 D 0-0 2.08 1.60 1 −0.60 −7.96 −€1.00
M22 Spartans · Home3 Feb 2024 3 Feb 2024 W 1-0 2.68 1.31 3 +1.69 −6.27 +€1.68
M23 Dumbarton · Away10 Feb 2024 10 Feb 2024 D 2-2 3.84 0.97 1 +0.03 −6.25 −€1.00
M24 Peterhead · Home17 Feb 2024 17 Feb 2024 D 3-3 2.35 1.45 1 −0.45 −6.70 −€1.00
M25 Clyde · Away20 Feb 2024 20 Feb 2024 W 2-0 2.51 1.38 3 +1.62 −5.08 +€1.51
M26 East Fife · Away24 Feb 2024 24 Feb 2024 D 1-1 2.82 1.27 1 −0.27 −5.35 −€1.00
M27 Stranraer · Away2 Mar 2024 2 Mar 2024 D 0-0 2.74 1.30 1 −0.30 −5.65 −€1.00
M28 Clyde · Home9 Mar 2024 9 Mar 2024 W 2-1 2.22 1.52 3 +1.48 −4.16 +€1.22
M29 Stenhousemuir · Home16 Mar 2024 16 Mar 2024 D 1-1 3.05 1.21 1 −0.21 −4.37 −€1.00
M30 Elgin · Away23 Mar 2024 23 Mar 2024 D 1-1 2.90 1.25 1 −0.25 −4.62 −€1.00
M31 Spartans · Away30 Mar 2024 30 Mar 2024 L 0-1 3.21 1.16 0 −1.16 −5.78 −€1.00
M32 Dumbarton · Home6 Apr 2024 6 Apr 2024 L 0-2 2.98 1.20 0 −1.20 −6.99 −€1.00
M33 Peterhead · Away13 Apr 2024 13 Apr 2024 L 1-2 3.82 1.01 0 −1.01 −8.00 −€1.00
M34 East Fife · Home20 Apr 2024 20 Apr 2024 W 2-1 2.30 1.49 3 +1.51 −6.49 +€1.30
M35 Stranraer · Home27 Apr 2024 27 Apr 2024 W 2-0 2.45 1.41 3 +1.59 −4.89 +€1.45
M36 Bonnyrigg Rose · Away4 May 2024 4 May 2024 L 0-4 2.58 1.35 0 −1.35 −6.25 −€1.00
Total 48.25 42 −6.25 −€12.54