Points
42Points expected by the market
47.02Gap
−5.02Yield
−14.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +3.38 | +22.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 21 | −4.27 | −16.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −4.13 | −45.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +3.06 | +30.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | −0.98 | −2.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.98 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.32 | 0.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.29 | −35.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −3.15 | −38.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Peterhead · Home3 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | −1.36 |
| M2 | Spartans · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.34 |
| M3 | Edinburgh City · Away17 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.04 | −3.37 |
| M4 | Clyde · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.85 | −1.52 |
| M5 | Stranraer · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | −0.14 |
| M6 | Elgin · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −1.17 |
| M7 | Stirling · Away21 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.57 |
| M8 | Forfar · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −0.98 |
| M9 | East Fife · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.90 | −1.88 |
| M10 | Edinburgh City · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | −0.87 |
| M11 | Clyde · Away2 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | −1.05 |
| M12 | Elgin · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.35 |
| M13 | Stranraer · Away16 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.89 |
| M14 | East Fife · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +1.45 |
| M15 | Stirling · Home3 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.90 |
| M16 | Forfar · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.33 | +1.57 |
| M17 | Peterhead · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +0.66 |
| M18 | Edinburgh City · Away4 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −0.79 |
| M19 | Spartans · Home21 Jan 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | −1.19 |
| M20 | Stirling · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −2.46 |
| M21 | Stranraer · Home28 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.49 | −0.97 |
| M22 | Clyde · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +0.67 |
| M23 | Elgin · Away4 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.35 |
| M24 | Peterhead · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.14 | −1.49 |
| M25 | East Fife · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.21 | −1.28 |
| M26 | Forfar · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −2.77 |
| M27 | Spartans · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.92 |
| M28 | Edinburgh City · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | −5.27 |
| M29 | Stirling · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −5.87 |
| M30 | Clyde · Away22 Mar 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −7.07 |
| M31 | Elgin · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −8.61 |
| M32 | Peterhead · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.70 | −9.31 |
| M33 | East Fife · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −10.30 |
| M34 | Forfar · Away19 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.17 | −8.12 |
| M35 | Spartans · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −6.38 |
| M36 | Stranraer · Away3 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | −5.02 |
| Total | 42 | −5.02 | |||