Points
43Points expected by the market
52.69Gap
−9.69Yield
−28.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.34 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 16 | −7.19 | −42.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 24 | −0.09 | −2.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −1.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.34 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 16 | −2.20 | −26.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 13 | +4.57 | +57.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 0 | −4.99 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −4.66 | −32.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −1.07 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Forfar · Away3 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.48 |
| M2 | Stranraer · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.68 |
| M3 | Stirling · Home17 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.92 | −1.25 |
| M4 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | −2.83 |
| M5 | East Fife · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.99 |
| M6 | Edinburgh City · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.34 | −5.33 |
| M7 | Elgin · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | −5.96 |
| M8 | Peterhead · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | −6.00 |
| M9 | Spartans · Home5 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −6.57 |
| M10 | Stirling · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −8.11 |
| M11 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home2 Nov 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −8.65 |
| M12 | Edinburgh City · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.88 | −10.52 |
| M13 | East Fife · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.52 | −9.01 |
| M14 | Peterhead · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.65 | −7.36 |
| M15 | Spartans · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −8.78 |
| M16 | Elgin · Away17 Dec 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.39 | −10.17 |
| M17 | Forfar · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −8.72 |
| M18 | Stranraer · Away28 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −9.01 |
| M19 | Stirling · Home4 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −7.60 |
| M20 | East Fife · Away11 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −8.64 |
| M21 | Edinburgh City · Home17 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.82 | −10.46 |
| M22 | Elgin · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −11.02 |
| M23 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −12.37 |
| M24 | Stranraer · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −10.94 |
| M25 | Peterhead · Away15 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | −10.92 |
| M26 | Spartans · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −12.53 |
| M27 | Forfar · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −10.76 |
| M28 | East Fife · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | −12.02 |
| M29 | Elgin · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −13.33 |
| M30 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home22 Mar 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | −11.85 |
| M31 | Stranraer · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −10.21 |
| M32 | Edinburgh City · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −11.39 |
| M33 | Forfar · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −11.75 |
| M34 | Spartans · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −12.89 |
| M35 | Stirling · Away26 Apr 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −11.24 |
| M36 | Peterhead · Home3 May 2025 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.55 | −9.69 |
| Total | 43 | −9.69 | |||