Points
65Points expected by the market
59.37Gap
+5.63Yield
+9.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.61 | +24.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 24 | 46 | +3.88 | +8.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +1.14 | +9.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.61 | +24.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 39 | +8.45 | +30.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 7 | −4.57 | −44.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +1.14 | +9.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Elgin · Away3 Aug 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.65 | −1.65 |
| M2 | Edinburgh City · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.61 | −1.04 |
| M3 | Forfar · Home17 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +0.24 |
| M4 | Stirling · Away24 Aug 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.85 |
| M5 | Clyde · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +3.28 |
| M6 | Stranraer · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | +1.57 |
| M7 | Peterhead · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +3.03 |
| M8 | Spartans · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +4.62 |
| M9 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +5.76 |
| M10 | Forfar · Away19 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | +5.22 |
| M11 | Stirling · Home2 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +4.39 |
| M12 | Stranraer · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.98 | +2.41 |
| M13 | Clyde · Away16 Nov 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +1.17 |
| M14 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +0.89 |
| M15 | Elgin · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +2.21 |
| M16 | Peterhead · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | +1.08 |
| M17 | Spartans · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +2.44 |
| M18 | Forfar · Home4 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +3.68 |
| M19 | Edinburgh City · Away8 Jan 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.37 | +5.06 |
| M20 | Clyde · Home11 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +6.36 |
| M21 | Stranraer · Away18 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +7.85 |
| M22 | Edinburgh City · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +8.82 |
| M23 | Elgin · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | +7.31 |
| M24 | Spartans · Away8 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | +8.91 |
| M25 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home15 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.97 | +7.94 |
| M26 | Peterhead · Home22 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | +7.40 |
| M27 | Stirling · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | +5.71 |
| M28 | Clyde · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +7.26 |
| M29 | Stranraer · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.03 | +5.24 |
| M30 | Edinburgh City · Away22 Mar 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.59 | +3.65 |
| M31 | Spartans · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.31 | +4.96 |
| M32 | Forfar · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | +3.52 |
| M33 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +4.76 |
| M34 | Stirling · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +5.73 |
| M35 | Peterhead · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.11 | +4.62 |
| M36 | Elgin · Home3 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +5.63 |
| Total | 65 | +5.63 | |||