Points
55Points expected by the market
48.98Gap
+6.02Yield
+23.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.09 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −0.18 | +7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 33 | +6.01 | +29.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 6 | +1.28 | +50.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.09 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 15 | +1.38 | +20.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +4.87 | +77.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.02 | +284.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.56 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | +1.14 | −0.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.74 | −8.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | East Fife · Home3 Aug 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.93 | +1.93 |
| M2 | Stirling · Away10 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +3.86 |
| M3 | Stranraer · Away24 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +3.57 |
| M4 | Forfar · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +3.12 |
| M5 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +4.41 |
| M6 | Spartans · Home17 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +3.92 |
| M7 | Clyde · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | +3.81 |
| M8 | Edinburgh City · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.09 | +2.72 |
| M9 | Peterhead · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +4.69 |
| M10 | Spartans · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +6.50 |
| M11 | Stranraer · Home2 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +7.76 |
| M12 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +6.65 |
| M13 | Forfar · Home16 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +8.07 |
| M14 | East Fife · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +7.03 |
| M15 | Stirling · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.68 | +5.35 |
| M16 | Clyde · Home17 Dec 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.65 | +7.00 |
| M17 | Edinburgh City · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | +5.44 |
| M18 | Peterhead · Home28 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +6.69 |
| M19 | Forfar · Away11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +6.57 |
| M20 | Clyde · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +6.41 |
| M21 | East Fife · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +8.20 |
| M22 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home4 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +9.50 |
| M23 | Stirling · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.47 | +8.03 |
| M24 | Stranraer · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | +6.58 |
| M25 | Edinburgh City · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +5.01 |
| M26 | Peterhead · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +4.12 |
| M27 | Forfar · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | +2.61 |
| M28 | Spartans · Home11 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +1.26 |
| M29 | Clyde · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.85 |
| M30 | Spartans · Away22 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +4.76 |
| M31 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +6.58 |
| M32 | Stirling · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.83 | +4.74 |
| M33 | Edinburgh City · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +3.59 |
| M34 | Peterhead · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +5.60 |
| M35 | Stranraer · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +6.80 |
| M36 | East Fife · Away3 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +6.02 |
| Total | 55 | +6.02 | |||