Points
36Points expected by the market
49.45Gap
−13.45Yield
−38.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 1 | −3.17 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 5 | −6.98 | −69.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 29 | +0.70 | −9.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −3.99 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 1 | −3.17 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 5 | −5.27 | −64.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −2.21 | −45.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.71 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +2.91 | +21.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −3.99 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Clyde · Home3 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | −0.25 |
| M2 | Peterhead · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.32 |
| M3 | East Fife · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.33 |
| M4 | Edinburgh City · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.08 | −4.41 |
| M5 | Elgin · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −4.68 |
| M6 | Spartans · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.97 | −5.65 |
| M7 | Stranraer · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.44 | −4.21 |
| M8 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −2.37 |
| M9 | Stirling · Away5 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −3.71 |
| M10 | East Fife · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −3.89 |
| M11 | Edinburgh City · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −5.60 |
| M12 | Spartans · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −7.02 |
| M13 | Elgin · Away16 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −8.15 |
| M14 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −6.52 |
| M15 | Peterhead · Home17 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −6.76 |
| M16 | Clyde · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −7.93 |
| M17 | Stirling · Home28 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | −8.66 |
| M18 | East Fife · Away4 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | −9.62 |
| M19 | Elgin · Home11 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −10.22 |
| M20 | Stranraer · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −11.95 |
| M21 | Peterhead · Away1 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | −11.94 |
| M22 | Edinburgh City · Home8 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −13.68 |
| M23 | Stirling · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −15.02 |
| M24 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −13.23 |
| M25 | Spartans · Away25 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −13.41 |
| M26 | Clyde · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −14.88 |
| M27 | Stranraer · Away4 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −13.20 |
| M28 | Elgin · Away8 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −11.39 |
| M29 | Spartans · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −12.91 |
| M30 | Stranraer · Away22 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −11.28 |
| M31 | Peterhead · Home29 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.22 | −11.50 |
| M32 | East Fife · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −9.77 |
| M33 | Clyde · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −10.12 |
| M34 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home19 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.91 | −12.03 |
| M35 | Edinburgh City · Away26 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −12.35 |
| M36 | Stirling · Home3 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.09 | −13.45 |
| Total | 36 | −13.45 | |||