Points
48Points expected by the market
43.95Gap
+4.05Yield
+15.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.54 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 30 | +2.62 | +14.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 15 | +4.08 | +32.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.54 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 25 | +6.22 | +50.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.99 | +76.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.89 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −3.60 | −57.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 12 | +3.09 | +24.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Edinburgh City · Away3 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +0.89 |
| M2 | Elgin · Home10 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | −0.79 |
| M3 | Clyde · Away17 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +1.38 |
| M4 | East Fife · Home24 Aug 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.34 | +0.04 |
| M5 | Spartans · Home31 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.82 |
| M6 | Peterhead · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.93 |
| M7 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home21 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −0.53 |
| M8 | Stranraer · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.28 |
| M9 | Forfar · Home5 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.91 |
| M10 | Clyde · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +4.70 |
| M11 | East Fife · Away2 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | +4.79 |
| M12 | Peterhead · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.17 | +3.62 |
| M13 | Spartans · Away16 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +2.59 |
| M14 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away3 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | +1.43 |
| M15 | Edinburgh City · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.86 | −0.43 |
| M16 | Elgin · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.95 | +1.51 |
| M17 | Stranraer · Home21 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +1.06 |
| M18 | Forfar · Away28 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.02 | +1.07 |
| M19 | Clyde · Away4 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.07 |
| M20 | Peterhead · Away18 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.94 |
| M21 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.61 |
| M22 | Edinburgh City · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.51 | −0.90 |
| M23 | Spartans · Home4 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −2.28 |
| M24 | Elgin · Home8 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | −0.54 |
| M25 | Forfar · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.08 |
| M26 | Stranraer · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.39 | −0.31 |
| M27 | East Fife · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +1.64 |
| M28 | Spartans · Away8 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +1.56 |
| M29 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +1.44 |
| M30 | Peterhead · Home22 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.48 |
| M31 | Edinburgh City · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +2.18 |
| M32 | Elgin · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +4.26 |
| M33 | Stranraer · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +5.86 |
| M34 | East Fife · Away19 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | +5.11 |
| M35 | Clyde · Home26 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.38 | +3.74 |
| M36 | Forfar · Away3 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.32 | +4.05 |
| Total | 48 | +4.05 | |||