Points
40Points expected by the market
41.77Gap
−1.77Yield
+10.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 20 | −8.09 | −41.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 19 | +7.00 | +105.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.68 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 16 | −3.37 | −28.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.99 | +81.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 4 | −4.72 | −68.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 15 | +5.01 | +110.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Spartans · Home3 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.07 |
| M2 | Clyde · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.00 |
| M3 | Peterhead · Away17 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −1.92 |
| M4 | Elgin · Home24 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −2.38 |
| M5 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.49 |
| M6 | East Fife · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | −1.52 |
| M7 | Forfar · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.68 |
| M8 | Stirling · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −4.20 |
| M9 | Edinburgh City · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | −2.71 |
| M10 | Peterhead · Home19 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | −2.78 |
| M11 | Elgin · Away2 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.00 | −3.77 |
| M12 | East Fife · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | −1.55 |
| M13 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home16 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.81 |
| M14 | Spartans · Away10 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.09 | −0.71 |
| M15 | Edinburgh City · Home14 Dec 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.68 | −1.39 |
| M16 | Stirling · Away21 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.66 |
| M17 | Clyde · Home28 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −2.05 |
| M18 | Peterhead · Away14 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.90 |
| M19 | East Fife · Home18 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −4.11 |
| M20 | Forfar · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −2.10 |
| M21 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Away28 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −3.30 |
| M22 | Spartans · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −1.58 |
| M23 | Clyde · Away8 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −2.74 |
| M24 | Elgin · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −1.00 |
| M25 | Stirling · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +0.66 |
| M26 | Edinburgh City · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +2.69 |
| M27 | Forfar · Home4 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +1.31 |
| M28 | Peterhead · Home8 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | +1.33 |
| M29 | East Fife · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.27 | +3.60 |
| M30 | Forfar · Home22 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | +2.28 |
| M31 | Clyde · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +0.92 |
| M32 | Spartans · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −0.07 |
| M33 | Stirling · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.40 |
| M34 | Edinburgh City · Home19 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +0.27 |
| M35 | Elgin · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.67 |
| M36 | Bonnyrigg Rose · Home3 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.77 |
| Total | 40 | −1.77 | |||