Points
40Points expected by the market
46.87Gap
−6.87Yield
−23.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.10 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −2.86 | −29.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 19 | −3.62 | −41.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 10 | +1.71 | +24.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 10 | −2.34 | −18.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −1.79 | −40.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 6 | +3.32 | +153.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.10 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.51 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −1.82 | −42.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.61 | −39.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Clyde · Home2 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +1.62 |
| M2 | Spartans · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +3.60 |
| M3 | Elgin · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | +2.78 |
| M4 | Annan Athletic · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.69 | +4.47 |
| M5 | Edinburgh City · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +2.99 |
| M6 | Forfar · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.88 | +4.87 |
| M7 | East Kilbride · Away20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.12 | +4.99 |
| M8 | Stranraer · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.90 | +3.09 |
| M9 | Stirling · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.51 | +2.58 |
| M10 | Spartans · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.20 | +1.38 |
| M11 | Clyde · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.23 |
| M12 | Annan Athletic · Home8 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +1.64 |
| M13 | Elgin · Away15 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.51 |
| M14 | Forfar · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.00 |
| M15 | Edinburgh City · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.00 | −2.00 |
| M16 | East Kilbride · Home13 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.09 | +0.09 |
| M17 | Stranraer · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.06 |
| M18 | Stirling · Home27 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −1.66 |
| M19 | Spartans · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −2.53 |
| M20 | Elgin · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −2.79 |
| M21 | Edinburgh City · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −4.60 |
| M22 | Forfar · Away7 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −5.88 |
| M23 | Annan Athletic · Away10 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −6.93 |
| M24 | East Kilbride · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.83 | −7.76 |
| M25 | Clyde · Home24 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −7.89 |
| M26 | Stirling · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | −8.31 |
| M27 | Spartans · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −6.32 |
| M28 | Stranraer · Home10 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −4.87 |
| M29 | Elgin · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −5.05 |
| M30 | Annan Athletic · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −3.46 |
| M31 | Forfar · Home28 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −3.90 |
| M32 | Stranraer · Away4 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −4.05 |
| M33 | Stirling · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −3.01 |
| M34 | Clyde · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −4.01 |
| M35 | East Kilbride · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | −4.76 |
| M36 | Edinburgh City · Away2 May 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −2.10 | −6.87 |
| Total | 40 | −6.87 | |||