Points
39Points expected by the market
41.25Gap
−2.25Yield
−16.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −3.16 | −38.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 24 | +0.75 | −9.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | +0.16 | −15.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 4 | −4.49 | −64.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 7 | −5.34 | −71.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +1.03 | +83.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.33 | +90.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 17 | +6.09 | +59.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −0.87 | −52.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stirling · Home2 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.39 |
| M2 | Stranraer · Away9 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +0.32 |
| M3 | Annan Athletic · Home16 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −0.16 |
| M4 | Elgin · Away23 Aug 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.88 | +1.72 |
| M5 | Dumbarton · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +3.46 |
| M6 | East Kilbride · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | +3.43 |
| M7 | Clyde · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +2.15 |
| M8 | Forfar · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +1.52 |
| M9 | Spartans · Away4 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +3.47 |
| M10 | Stranraer · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.96 | +1.51 |
| M11 | Stirling · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +2.84 |
| M12 | Elgin · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | +1.33 |
| M13 | Annan Athletic · Away15 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +1.10 |
| M14 | East Kilbride · Away22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.15 | +1.25 |
| M15 | Dumbarton · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.24 | +2.50 |
| M16 | Clyde · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.41 | +1.09 |
| M17 | Forfar · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.65 | +2.74 |
| M18 | Spartans · Home27 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.28 | +1.45 |
| M19 | Stranraer · Away3 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +1.37 |
| M20 | Stirling · Home10 Jan 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.63 | −0.26 |
| M21 | Annan Athletic · Home24 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.32 |
| M22 | Dumbarton · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.05 | +1.73 |
| M23 | East Kilbride · Home7 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.70 |
| M24 | Spartans · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.97 |
| M25 | Clyde · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.79 | +0.17 |
| M26 | Elgin · Away24 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −0.76 |
| M27 | Forfar · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −0.96 |
| M28 | Stranraer · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +0.82 |
| M29 | Annan Athletic · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.88 | −0.07 |
| M30 | Elgin · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.31 |
| M31 | Stirling · Away28 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.56 |
| M32 | Spartans · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −3.28 |
| M33 | Clyde · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | −3.83 |
| M34 | East Kilbride · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.22 | −4.05 |
| M35 | Forfar · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.50 | −4.56 |
| M36 | Dumbarton · Home2 May 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +2.31 | −2.25 |
| Total | 39 | −2.25 | |||