Points
44Points expected by the market
51.01Gap
−7.01Yield
−33.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 28 | −0.25 | −7.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −3.18 | −36.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.51 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 23 | +1.44 | +4.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.21 | −42.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.99 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 5 | −1.70 | −45.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −1.97 | −33.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.52 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Annan Athletic · Away2 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.25 |
| M2 | East Kilbride · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −2.24 |
| M3 | Dumbarton · Away16 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −2.17 |
| M4 | Edinburgh City · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.62 | −3.79 |
| M5 | Clyde · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −4.03 |
| M6 | Stirling · Home13 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −2.70 |
| M7 | Stranraer · Away20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −3.29 |
| M8 | Spartans · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −4.60 |
| M9 | Forfar · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | −3.15 |
| M10 | East Kilbride · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −4.01 |
| M11 | Annan Athletic · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −2.58 |
| M12 | Edinburgh City · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.80 |
| M13 | Dumbarton · Home15 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +0.59 |
| M14 | Stirling · Away22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | −0.31 |
| M15 | Clyde · Home6 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.86 |
| M16 | Stranraer · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −2.58 |
| M17 | Spartans · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −3.73 |
| M18 | Forfar · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.71 | −5.44 |
| M19 | Dumbarton · Away24 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | −5.91 |
| M20 | Spartans · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.15 | −6.06 |
| M21 | Clyde · Away10 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −6.20 |
| M22 | East Kilbride · Home17 Feb 2026 | L 1-6 | 0 | −1.31 | −7.52 |
| M23 | Stirling · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −6.29 |
| M24 | Edinburgh City · Home24 Feb 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.18 | −5.11 |
| M25 | Stranraer · Away28 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | −3.22 |
| M26 | East Kilbride · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −4.10 |
| M27 | Annan Athletic · Away10 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −5.24 |
| M28 | Dumbarton · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −5.80 |
| M29 | Edinburgh City · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −4.30 |
| M30 | Forfar · Home24 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −2.93 |
| M31 | Clyde · Home28 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −1.38 |
| M32 | Forfar · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.63 |
| M33 | Annan Athletic · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.70 | −4.33 |
| M34 | Stirling · Away18 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.06 | −5.39 |
| M35 | Spartans · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −5.23 |
| M36 | Stranraer · Home2 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | −7.01 |
| Total | 44 | −7.01 | |||