Points
50Points expected by the market
47.04Gap
+2.96Yield
−14.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.69 | +26.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | +1.33 | +6.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 29 | +1.49 | −16.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | −0.55 | −40.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.69 | +26.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.36 | +5.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 16 | +2.89 | +2.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 4 | +2.01 | +77.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.97 | +9.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 13 | −1.39 | −32.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.56 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Stranraer · Home2 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.19 |
| M2 | Clyde · Away9 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.99 |
| M3 | Stirling · Home16 Aug 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.17 | +2.16 |
| M4 | Spartans · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | +1.02 |
| M5 | East Kilbride · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.82 | +0.20 |
| M6 | Dumbarton · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −1.41 |
| M7 | Annan Athletic · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −0.17 |
| M8 | Edinburgh City · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −0.28 |
| M9 | Elgin · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.44 |
| M10 | Clyde · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | −1.89 |
| M11 | Stranraer · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −3.24 |
| M12 | Spartans · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | −3.21 |
| M13 | Stirling · Away15 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −1.67 |
| M14 | Dumbarton · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +0.12 |
| M15 | East Kilbride · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −0.94 |
| M16 | Annan Athletic · Away13 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.99 |
| M17 | Edinburgh City · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −3.37 |
| M18 | Elgin · Home27 Dec 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.98 | −1.39 |
| M19 | Clyde · Away3 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −1.26 |
| M20 | Stranraer · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | −1.67 |
| M21 | Stirling · Home24 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | −3.30 |
| M22 | East Kilbride · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −4.22 |
| M23 | Dumbarton · Home7 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −2.66 |
| M24 | Annan Athletic · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | −1.04 |
| M25 | Edinburgh City · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | −1.56 |
| M26 | Clyde · Home7 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.81 |
| M27 | Stirling · Away14 Mar 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −0.33 |
| M28 | Spartans · Away17 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.28 |
| M29 | Spartans · Home21 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −1.46 |
| M30 | Elgin · Away24 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.55 |
| M31 | Dumbarton · Away28 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −2.84 |
| M32 | Elgin · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −1.30 |
| M33 | East Kilbride · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +0.61 |
| M34 | Stranraer · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +2.39 |
| M35 | Edinburgh City · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +3.08 |
| M36 | Annan Athletic · Away2 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +2.96 |
| Total | 50 | +2.96 | |||