Points
64Points expected by the market
60.00Gap
+4.00Yield
+5.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 8 | −0.48 | −28.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 22 | 33 | −5.17 | −22.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 23 | +9.65 | +81.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.19 | −30.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 23 | −1.84 | −6.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.32 | +23.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.29 | −27.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 10 | −3.33 | −50.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 19 | +8.33 | +96.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | East Kilbride · Away2 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +1.94 |
| M2 | Dumbarton · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | +0.23 |
| M3 | Clyde · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +2.00 |
| M4 | Forfar · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +3.42 |
| M5 | Annan Athletic · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +4.53 |
| M6 | Stranraer · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +5.74 |
| M7 | Stirling · Home20 Sep 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.00 | +3.74 |
| M8 | Elgin · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.58 | +5.32 |
| M9 | Edinburgh City · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.70 | +3.63 |
| M10 | Dumbarton · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +5.10 |
| M11 | East Kilbride · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +6.74 |
| M12 | Forfar · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.76 | +5.98 |
| M13 | Clyde · Home15 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | +5.21 |
| M14 | Stranraer · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.98 | +3.23 |
| M15 | Annan Athletic · Away6 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +2.75 |
| M16 | Stirling · Away13 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | +1.87 |
| M17 | Elgin · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +3.29 |
| M18 | Edinburgh City · Away27 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +4.84 |
| M19 | Dumbarton · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +5.96 |
| M20 | Clyde · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +4.66 |
| M21 | East Kilbride · Away27 Jan 2026 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +6.40 |
| M22 | Elgin · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.58 | +5.81 |
| M23 | Edinburgh City · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.04 | +4.77 |
| M24 | Stranraer · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.52 | +3.25 |
| M25 | Annan Athletic · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +4.47 |
| M26 | Stirling · Home3 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +5.32 |
| M27 | Dumbarton · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.72 | +3.60 |
| M28 | Clyde · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +5.05 |
| M29 | Forfar · Home17 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +6.26 |
| M30 | Forfar · Away21 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +5.73 |
| M31 | East Kilbride · Home28 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +5.40 |
| M32 | Edinburgh City · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +6.34 |
| M33 | Stranraer · Home11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.71 | +4.63 |
| M34 | Annan Athletic · Away18 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | +6.15 |
| M35 | Elgin · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.92 | +5.23 |
| M36 | Stirling · Away2 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.23 | +4.00 |
| Total | 64 | +4.00 | |||