Points
38Points expected by the market
36.10Gap
+1.90Yield
−19.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.75 | +99.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 20 | +0.95 | −5.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 12 | −1.81 | −44.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.75 | +99.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 7 | −5.30 | −71.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −0.77 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 13 | +6.25 | +103.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −1.03 | −17.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Edinburgh City · Away2 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.65 |
| M2 | Annan Athletic · Home9 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.40 | +1.25 |
| M3 | Forfar · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.90 | +0.35 |
| M4 | East Kilbride · Home23 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.48 |
| M5 | Stranraer · Home30 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +0.76 |
| M6 | Elgin · Away13 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.32 |
| M7 | Spartans · Away20 Sep 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.23 | +1.91 |
| M8 | Clyde · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.20 | +0.71 |
| M9 | Dumbarton · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.48 |
| M10 | Annan Athletic · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | +0.43 |
| M11 | Edinburgh City · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −0.66 |
| M12 | East Kilbride · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.59 | −1.25 |
| M13 | Forfar · Home15 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.49 |
| M14 | Elgin · Home22 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | −2.35 |
| M15 | Stranraer · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.20 |
| M16 | Spartans · Home13 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | −3.06 |
| M17 | Clyde · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.23 | −0.84 |
| M18 | Dumbarton · Away27 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | +1.14 |
| M19 | Edinburgh City · Away10 Jan 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.88 | +3.01 |
| M20 | East Kilbride · Home17 Jan 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +2.11 |
| M21 | Forfar · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +4.00 |
| M22 | Stranraer · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +3.76 |
| M23 | Clyde · Home17 Feb 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +2.58 |
| M24 | Elgin · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | +1.60 |
| M25 | Annan Athletic · Home24 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +3.40 |
| M26 | Dumbarton · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +3.08 |
| M27 | Spartans · Away3 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | +2.44 |
| M28 | Annan Athletic · Away7 Mar 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.07 | +2.51 |
| M29 | Forfar · Home14 Mar 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.20 | +1.30 |
| M30 | East Kilbride · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.54 | +0.77 |
| M31 | Edinburgh City · Home28 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +2.28 |
| M32 | Clyde · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.70 | +1.58 |
| M33 | Dumbarton · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | +0.76 |
| M34 | Elgin · Home18 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.27 | +1.03 |
| M35 | Stranraer · Away25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.45 | +1.48 |
| M36 | Spartans · Home2 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.42 | +1.90 |
| Total | 38 | +1.90 | |||