Points
47Points expected by the market
44.24Gap
+2.76Yield
+17.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.26 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 7 | −4.48 | −76.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 17 | −1.81 | −24.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 22 | +10.30 | +124.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.26 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 6 | −2.48 | −67.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +2.15 | +13.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.89 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.00 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 2 | −3.96 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 22 | +12.19 | +165.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Forfar · Away2 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.92 |
| M2 | Edinburgh City · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −2.35 |
| M3 | East Kilbride · Away16 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −2.94 |
| M4 | Clyde · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | −3.06 |
| M5 | Stirling · Away30 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −4.04 |
| M6 | Spartans · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −4.98 |
| M7 | Elgin · Home20 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −5.11 |
| M8 | Dumbarton · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.14 | −2.98 |
| M9 | Annan Athletic · Home4 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −4.29 |
| M10 | Edinburgh City · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.19 | −2.10 |
| M11 | Forfar · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −0.46 |
| M12 | Clyde · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.02 | −0.44 |
| M13 | East Kilbride · Home15 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −1.39 |
| M14 | Spartans · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +2.23 | +0.84 |
| M15 | Stirling · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.09 | +1.93 |
| M16 | Elgin · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +3.91 |
| M17 | Dumbarton · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +3.20 |
| M18 | Annan Athletic · Away27 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | +3.03 |
| M19 | Edinburgh City · Home3 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.65 | +2.38 |
| M20 | Forfar · Away10 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | +2.07 |
| M21 | East Kilbride · Away24 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +4.19 |
| M22 | Stirling · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +3.70 |
| M23 | Annan Athletic · Home7 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +3.26 |
| M24 | Spartans · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +5.05 |
| M25 | Elgin · Home28 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | +3.42 |
| M26 | Edinburgh City · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.50 | +1.92 |
| M27 | Dumbarton · Away10 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +0.74 |
| M28 | East Kilbride · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +2.63 |
| M29 | Clyde · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +1.53 |
| M30 | Clyde · Home24 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +3.27 |
| M31 | Annan Athletic · Away28 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +2.07 |
| M32 | Dumbarton · Home4 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.58 | +1.50 |
| M33 | Spartans · Away11 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | +3.47 |
| M34 | Forfar · Home18 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +1.98 |
| M35 | Stirling · Home25 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.26 | +0.72 |
| M36 | Elgin · Away2 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +2.76 |
| Total | 47 | +2.76 | |||