Points
15Points expected by the market
18.00Gap
−3.00Yield
−24.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.05 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −3.44 | −42.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.49 | +22.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.05 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 4 | −2.93 | −59.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.30 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.51 | −7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.79 | +62.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Annan Athletic · Away1 Aug 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.50 | +1.50 |
| M2 | Edinburgh City · Home8 Aug 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.05 | +0.45 |
| M3 | Stranraer · Away15 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.99 |
| M4 | Elgin · Home22 Aug 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.64 | −1.63 |
| M5 | Clyde · Home29 Aug 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.30 | −1.92 |
| M6 | Stirling · Away5 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −0.62 |
| M7 | Forfar · Home12 Sep 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +0.46 |
| M8 | Dumbarton · Away19 Sep 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.82 | −1.35 |
| M9 | Kelty Hearts · Home3 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.87 | −3.22 |
| M10 | Edinburgh City · Away10 Oct 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −1.50 |
| M11 | Stranraer · Home17 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | −3.00 |
| Total | 15 | −3.00 | |||