Points
37Points expected by the market
40.57Gap
−3.57Yield
−32.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 14 | −4.19 | −47.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +1.98 | +12.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 2 | −2.21 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −1.78 | −34.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 5 | −0.91 | −36.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.41 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.89 | +37.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −2.15 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St Mirren · Home3 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +0.85 |
| M2 | Rangers · Away11 Aug 2019 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.46 | +0.39 |
| M3 | St Johnstone · Home24 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.01 | −0.62 |
| M4 | Motherwell · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.97 |
| M5 | Kilmarnock · Away14 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −3.11 |
| M6 | Hearts · Home22 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −4.54 |
| M7 | Celtic · Home28 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.54 | −4.01 |
| M8 | Aberdeen · Away5 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.03 | −3.98 |
| M9 | Hamilton · Away19 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −4.67 |
| M10 | Ross County · Home26 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.98 | −5.65 |
| M11 | Livingston · Home30 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −6.19 |
| M12 | St Johnstone · Away9 Nov 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.76 | −4.43 |
| M13 | Motherwell · Home23 Nov 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −3.06 |
| M14 | St Mirren · Away26 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −1.55 |
| M15 | Kilmarnock · Home30 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | −2.23 |
| M16 | Ross County · Away4 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −3.96 |
| M17 | Aberdeen · Home7 Dec 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −2.34 |
| M18 | Celtic · Away15 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.34 | −2.68 |
| M19 | Rangers · Home20 Dec 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −3.28 |
| M20 | Hearts · Away26 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −1.60 |
| M21 | Livingston · Away29 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.78 |
| M22 | Hamilton · Home22 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | −1.85 |
| M23 | Motherwell · Away25 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.16 | −2.02 |
| M24 | St Mirren · Home1 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | −2.85 |
| M25 | Rangers · Away5 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.30 | −3.16 |
| M26 | Ross County · Home12 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −2.13 |
| M27 | Kilmarnock · Away16 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | −0.35 |
| M28 | Livingston · Home22 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −0.90 |
| M29 | Hearts · Home3 Mar 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −2.50 |
| M30 | Aberdeen · Away7 Mar 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −3.57 |
| Total | 37 | −3.57 | |||