Points
40Points expected by the market
42.68Gap
−2.68Yield
−25.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.32 | +13.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 22 | +0.65 | −1.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 8 | −4.65 | −58.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.32 | +13.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 19 | +4.95 | +28.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | +0.75 | −10.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 3 | −4.30 | −51.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 5 | −5.40 | −72.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dundee United · Home30 Jul 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.48 |
| M2 | Rangers · Away6 Aug 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.32 | −0.80 |
| M3 | Celtic · Home14 Aug 2022 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.32 | −1.12 |
| M4 | Ross County · Away20 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.27 |
| M5 | Motherwell · Home27 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −0.61 |
| M6 | Hibernian · Away3 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −1.40 |
| M7 | Livingston · Away17 Sep 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | −2.45 |
| M8 | Aberdeen · Away1 Oct 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.82 | −3.28 |
| M9 | St Johnstone · Home5 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −1.86 |
| M10 | Hearts · Home9 Oct 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −1.96 |
| M11 | St Mirren · Away15 Oct 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | −1.89 |
| M12 | Ross County · Home22 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −0.65 |
| M13 | St Johnstone · Away29 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.82 |
| M14 | Livingston · Home4 Nov 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.47 | −3.29 |
| M15 | Dundee United · Away9 Nov 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.10 | −4.39 |
| M16 | Hibernian · Home12 Nov 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | −2.47 |
| M17 | Hearts · Away17 Dec 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −3.28 |
| M18 | Motherwell · Away23 Dec 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.01 | −3.29 |
| M19 | Aberdeen · Home28 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −1.50 |
| M20 | St Mirren · Home2 Jan 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −1.85 |
| M21 | Celtic · Away7 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.20 | −2.05 |
| M22 | Rangers · Home18 Jan 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −2.53 |
| M23 | Ross County · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.35 | −3.89 |
| M24 | Dundee United · Home1 Feb 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −2.44 |
| M25 | Livingston · Away4 Feb 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.18 | −3.62 |
| M26 | Hibernian · Away18 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −4.59 |
| M27 | Motherwell · Home25 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −5.16 |
| M28 | Rangers · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.34 | −5.50 |
| M29 | St Johnstone · Home18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −6.11 |
| M30 | Hearts · Home1 Apr 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −4.48 |
| M31 | Aberdeen · Away8 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −5.43 |
| M32 | Celtic · Home16 Apr 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.38 | −5.81 |
| M33 | St Mirren · Away22 Apr 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −3.92 |
| M34 | Motherwell · Away6 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −5.10 |
| M35 | Livingston · Home13 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −3.93 |
| M36 | St Johnstone · Home20 May 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −5.66 |
| M37 | Dundee United · Away24 May 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −3.93 |
| M38 | Ross County · Home28 May 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.25 | −2.68 |
| Total | 40 | −2.68 | |||