Points
43Points expected by the market
39.76Gap
+3.24Yield
+22.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.29 | +100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 21 | −2.63 | −4.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 19 | +4.58 | +45.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.29 | +100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 12 | −6.90 | −45.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +1.80 | +145.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 9 | +4.27 | +137.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 15 | +2.78 | +18.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hibernian · Home30 Jul 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.17 |
| M2 | Motherwell · Away6 Aug 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +0.72 |
| M3 | Rangers · Away13 Aug 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.28 | +0.44 |
| M4 | Aberdeen · Home20 Aug 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −0.68 |
| M5 | Hearts · Away28 Aug 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −1.58 |
| M6 | St Mirren · Home3 Sep 2022 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +0.13 |
| M7 | Ross County · Home17 Sep 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | −0.31 |
| M8 | Dundee United · Away1 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.52 |
| M9 | Kilmarnock · Away5 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +0.40 |
| M10 | Celtic · Home8 Oct 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.35 | +0.05 |
| M11 | Livingston · Away15 Oct 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.90 |
| M12 | Hibernian · Away21 Oct 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.28 | +1.39 |
| M13 | Kilmarnock · Home29 Oct 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.88 |
| M14 | Rangers · Home6 Nov 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.54 | +5.41 |
| M15 | St Mirren · Away9 Nov 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | +5.33 |
| M16 | Motherwell · Home12 Nov 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +5.00 |
| M17 | Ross County · Away17 Dec 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +6.76 |
| M18 | Celtic · Away24 Dec 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.20 | +6.56 |
| M19 | Hearts · Home28 Dec 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +5.38 |
| M20 | Dundee United · Home2 Jan 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | +3.88 |
| M21 | Aberdeen · Away7 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +3.09 |
| M22 | Livingston · Home14 Jan 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.49 | +1.60 |
| M23 | Rangers · Away28 Jan 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.26 | +1.34 |
| M24 | Motherwell · Away1 Feb 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +3.37 |
| M25 | Celtic · Home5 Feb 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.32 | +3.05 |
| M26 | Dundee United · Away18 Feb 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +4.84 |
| M27 | St Mirren · Home25 Feb 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +4.44 |
| M28 | Hearts · Away4 Mar 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.83 | +3.61 |
| M29 | Kilmarnock · Away18 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +3.52 |
| M30 | Aberdeen · Home1 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +2.36 |
| M31 | Ross County · Home8 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +0.86 |
| M32 | Livingston · Away15 Apr 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −0.22 |
| M33 | Hibernian · Home22 Apr 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.29 |
| M34 | Dundee United · Home6 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.22 |
| M35 | Motherwell · Home13 May 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.08 |
| M36 | Kilmarnock · Away20 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +1.93 |
| M37 | Ross County · Away24 May 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.01 | +1.95 |
| M38 | Livingston · Home28 May 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.29 | +3.24 |
| Total | 43 | +3.24 | |||