Points
48Points expected by the market
52.72Gap
−4.72Yield
−12.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.14 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 20 | −3.95 | −36.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 22 | −1.63 | −9.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 5 | +2.01 | +44.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.14 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −2.53 | −24.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.91 | +14.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | +0.29 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.43 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 15 | −2.54 | −16.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +1.71 | +188.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Livingston · Away5 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.39 |
| M2 | Celtic · Home13 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.45 | −0.84 |
| M3 | St Mirren · Away27 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | −1.07 |
| M4 | Hibernian · Home3 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −2.56 |
| M5 | Hearts · Away16 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.67 |
| M6 | Ross County · Home24 Sep 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −2.44 |
| M7 | Rangers · Away30 Sep 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.49 | +0.05 |
| M8 | St Johnstone · Home8 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.14 | −1.09 |
| M9 | Kilmarnock · Away29 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −2.36 |
| M10 | Motherwell · Away1 Nov 2023 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.72 | −0.63 |
| M11 | Celtic · Away12 Nov 2023 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.40 | −1.03 |
| M12 | Rangers · Home26 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.39 | −0.64 |
| M13 | Hibernian · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.83 |
| M14 | Kilmarnock · Home6 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.65 | −3.48 |
| M15 | Hearts · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −1.94 |
| M16 | Livingston · Home20 Dec 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | −0.94 |
| M17 | St Mirren · Home30 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.87 | −2.81 |
| M18 | Ross County · Away2 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −1.31 |
| M19 | St Johnstone · Away24 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | −1.98 |
| M20 | Hearts · Away27 Jan 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −3.07 |
| M21 | Dundee · Home30 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.78 | −3.85 |
| M22 | Celtic · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.35 | −3.50 |
| M23 | Rangers · Away6 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.38 | −3.88 |
| M24 | Motherwell · Home14 Feb 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.71 | −4.59 |
| M25 | Hibernian · Home17 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −5.15 |
| M26 | Kilmarnock · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −6.41 |
| M27 | St Johnstone · Home28 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.96 | −8.37 |
| M28 | St Mirren · Away2 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −9.56 |
| M29 | Dundee · Away13 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −11.04 |
| M30 | Motherwell · Away16 Mar 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −9.26 |
| M31 | Ross County · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | −8.32 |
| M32 | Livingston · Away6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | −9.08 |
| M33 | Dundee · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −9.81 |
| M34 | Motherwell · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −8.38 |
| M35 | St Johnstone · Home4 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −7.29 |
| M36 | Hibernian · Away12 May 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.92 | −5.38 |
| M37 | Livingston · Home15 May 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.92 | −4.45 |
| M38 | Ross County · Away19 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −4.72 |
| Total | 48 | −4.72 | |||