Points
46Points expected by the market
54.60Gap
−8.60Yield
−40.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.62 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 20 | −8.61 | −38.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 17 | +0.71 | −17.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −2.32 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.62 | +43.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 12 | −8.02 | −48.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +1.57 | +48.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −0.84 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.59 | −17.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −0.86 | −39.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −1.48 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St Mirren · Home6 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.68 | −1.68 |
| M2 | Motherwell · Away13 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −3.05 |
| M3 | Livingston · Home26 Aug 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.84 | −4.89 |
| M4 | Aberdeen · Away3 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −3.12 |
| M5 | Kilmarnock · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −3.42 |
| M6 | St Johnstone · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −2.45 |
| M7 | Dundee · Home30 Sep 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.98 | −3.43 |
| M8 | Hearts · Away7 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | −3.70 |
| M9 | Rangers · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.57 | −4.27 |
| M10 | Celtic · Home28 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.33 | −3.95 |
| M11 | Ross County · Home31 Oct 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.90 | −4.85 |
| M12 | St Mirren · Away8 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −5.04 |
| M13 | Kilmarnock · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.39 | −3.64 |
| M14 | Dundee · Away25 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | −2.09 |
| M15 | Aberdeen · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −0.63 |
| M16 | Celtic · Away6 Dec 2023 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.38 | −1.01 |
| M17 | Livingston · Away9 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +0.31 |
| M18 | St Johnstone · Away16 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.64 | −1.33 |
| M19 | Hearts · Home27 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.68 |
| M20 | Motherwell · Home2 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | −3.39 |
| M21 | Rangers · Home24 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.51 | −3.90 |
| M22 | Kilmarnock · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.08 | −3.97 |
| M23 | St Mirren · Home3 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.79 | −5.76 |
| M24 | Celtic · Home7 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.66 | −6.42 |
| M25 | Aberdeen · Away17 Feb 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | −6.58 |
| M26 | Dundee · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | −5.31 |
| M27 | Hearts · Away28 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −5.36 |
| M28 | Ross County · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.77 | −4.59 |
| M29 | Ross County · Away13 Mar 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | −5.40 |
| M30 | Livingston · Home16 Mar 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.85 | −4.55 |
| M31 | Rangers · Away30 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.40 | −4.95 |
| M32 | St Johnstone · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.08 | −7.03 |
| M33 | Motherwell · Away13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | −7.46 |
| M34 | St Johnstone · Away27 Apr 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −6.07 |
| M35 | Ross County · Away4 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −7.55 |
| M36 | Aberdeen · Home12 May 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.66 | −9.21 |
| M37 | Motherwell · Home15 May 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.45 | −7.76 |
| M38 | Livingston · Away19 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −8.60 |
| Total | 46 | −8.60 | |||