Points
25Points expected by the market
35.83Gap
−10.83Yield
−56.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −0.18 | −13.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 7 | −10.65 | −81.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +1.38 | +10.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −3.17 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 2 | −1.57 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 4 | −7.47 | −72.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Aberdeen · Home5 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.31 |
| M2 | Rangers · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.31 | −0.62 |
| M3 | Hibernian · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.10 | +1.47 |
| M4 | St Mirren · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +1.20 |
| M5 | Ross County · Away16 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +1.08 |
| M6 | Celtic · Home23 Sep 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.44 | +0.64 |
| M7 | St Johnstone · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.22 | +0.42 |
| M8 | Motherwell · Home7 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +2.16 |
| M9 | Kilmarnock · Away21 Oct 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.96 | +1.20 |
| M10 | Dundee · Home28 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −0.23 |
| M11 | Hearts · Away1 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.65 | −0.87 |
| M12 | Dundee · Away5 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −1.78 |
| M13 | Rangers · Home12 Nov 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.40 | −2.18 |
| M14 | St Mirren · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −3.11 |
| M15 | Hibernian · Home9 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −4.14 |
| M16 | Kilmarnock · Home16 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −4.24 |
| M17 | Aberdeen · Away20 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | −4.99 |
| M18 | Celtic · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.18 | −5.17 |
| M19 | St Johnstone · Home27 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.54 | −5.71 |
| M20 | Motherwell · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −6.78 |
| M21 | Hearts · Home2 Jan 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −7.75 |
| M22 | Dundee · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.38 | −9.13 |
| M23 | Ross County · Home30 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −9.66 |
| M24 | Rangers · Away3 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.21 | −9.87 |
| M25 | Kilmarnock · Away7 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.75 | −10.62 |
| M26 | St Mirren · Home17 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −8.81 |
| M27 | Ross County · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −10.03 |
| M28 | Motherwell · Home28 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.23 | −11.26 |
| M29 | St Johnstone · Away2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −11.34 |
| M30 | Hibernian · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −11.97 |
| M31 | Celtic · Home31 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.35 | −12.32 |
| M32 | Aberdeen · Home6 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −12.28 |
| M33 | Hearts · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.62 | −12.90 |
| M34 | Ross County · Home27 Apr 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −11.09 |
| M35 | Motherwell · Away4 May 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.82 | −11.91 |
| M36 | St Johnstone · Home11 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | −10.20 |
| M37 | Aberdeen · Away15 May 2024 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.71 | −10.90 |
| M38 | Hibernian · Home19 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −10.83 |
| Total | 25 | −10.83 | |||