Points
43Points expected by the market
44.62Gap
−1.62Yield
+8.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +2.89 | +42.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 23 | −6.33 | −36.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | +1.81 | +79.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +2.89 | +42.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −5.83 | −55.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −1.51 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −0.50 | −12.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 10 | +3.32 | +139.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dundee · Away5 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.19 |
| M2 | Hibernian · Home13 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.48 |
| M3 | Kilmarnock · Home26 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +3.10 |
| M4 | Hearts · Away3 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.12 | +5.22 |
| M5 | St Mirren · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.35 | +3.87 |
| M6 | Rangers · Away24 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.37 | +3.50 |
| M7 | Celtic · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | +2.93 |
| M8 | Livingston · Away7 Oct 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +1.48 |
| M9 | Ross County · Home28 Oct 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.77 | +0.71 |
| M10 | Aberdeen · Home1 Nov 2023 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.43 | −0.72 |
| M11 | Kilmarnock · Away4 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −1.72 |
| M12 | St Johnstone · Away7 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | −2.07 |
| M13 | Hearts · Home11 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.30 |
| M14 | Celtic · Away25 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.72 | −2.58 |
| M15 | Dundee · Home2 Dec 2023 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.55 | −3.13 |
| M16 | Ross County · Away5 Dec 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −4.25 |
| M17 | St Johnstone · Home9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −4.80 |
| M18 | St Mirren · Away16 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | −4.79 |
| M19 | Rangers · Home24 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.43 | −5.22 |
| M20 | Livingston · Home30 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.36 | −3.86 |
| M21 | Hibernian · Away2 Jan 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −3.87 |
| M22 | St Johnstone · Away27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −4.10 |
| M23 | Kilmarnock · Home3 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −4.37 |
| M24 | Ross County · Home6 Feb 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.24 | −3.13 |
| M25 | Aberdeen · Away14 Feb 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.01 | −3.14 |
| M26 | Hearts · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −3.98 |
| M27 | Celtic · Home25 Feb 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.50 | −4.49 |
| M28 | Livingston · Away28 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.53 | −2.96 |
| M29 | Rangers · Away2 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.71 | −0.25 |
| M30 | Aberdeen · Home16 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.74 |
| M31 | St Mirren · Home30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −2.13 |
| M32 | Dundee · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.83 | −0.30 |
| M33 | Hibernian · Home13 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.61 |
| M34 | Aberdeen · Away27 Apr 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.77 |
| M35 | Livingston · Home4 May 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.07 | −0.70 |
| M36 | Ross County · Away11 May 2024 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.13 |
| M37 | Hibernian · Away15 May 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.19 | −0.07 |
| M38 | St Johnstone · Home19 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.62 |
| Total | 43 | −1.62 | |||