Points
85Points expected by the market
86.57Gap
−1.57Yield
−10.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 32 | 80 | +2.33 | +1.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.16 | −20.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −3.10 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 45 | +2.32 | +5.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.00 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 35 | +0.02 | −2.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.16 | −20.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.10 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.96 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kilmarnock · Away5 Aug 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.25 | −2.25 |
| M2 | Livingston · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.44 | −1.81 |
| M3 | Ross County · Away26 Aug 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.61 | −1.20 |
| M4 | Celtic · Home3 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −2.74 |
| M5 | St Johnstone · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.55 | −2.19 |
| M6 | Motherwell · Home24 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.52 | −1.68 |
| M7 | Aberdeen · Home30 Sep 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.32 | −3.99 |
| M8 | St Mirren · Away8 Oct 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −3.01 |
| M9 | Hibernian · Home21 Oct 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.76 | −2.25 |
| M10 | Hearts · Home29 Oct 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.60 | −1.65 |
| M11 | Dundee · Away1 Nov 2023 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.81 | −0.84 |
| M12 | Livingston · Away12 Nov 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.56 | −0.28 |
| M13 | Aberdeen · Away26 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.18 | −1.47 |
| M14 | St Mirren · Home3 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.43 | −1.04 |
| M15 | Hearts · Away6 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.88 | −0.16 |
| M16 | Dundee · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.34 | +0.18 |
| M17 | St Johnstone · Home20 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.36 | +0.54 |
| M18 | Motherwell · Away24 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +1.13 |
| M19 | Celtic · Away30 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.03 |
| M20 | Kilmarnock · Home2 Jan 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.51 | +0.53 |
| M21 | Hibernian · Away24 Jan 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +1.22 |
| M22 | St Mirren · Away27 Jan 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +1.82 |
| M23 | Livingston · Home3 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.31 | +2.12 |
| M24 | Aberdeen · Home6 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.53 | +2.65 |
| M25 | Ross County · Home14 Feb 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.28 | +2.93 |
| M26 | St Johnstone · Away18 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +3.51 |
| M27 | Hearts · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.61 | +4.11 |
| M28 | Kilmarnock · Away28 Feb 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +4.95 |
| M29 | Motherwell · Home2 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.59 | +2.36 |
| M30 | Hibernian · Home30 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.54 | +2.90 |
| M31 | Celtic · Home7 Apr 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.46 | +2.44 |
| M32 | Ross County · Away14 Apr 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.54 | −0.10 |
| M33 | Dundee · Away17 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.42 | −1.51 |
| M34 | St Mirren · Away28 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.72 | −0.79 |
| M35 | Kilmarnock · Home5 May 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.56 | −0.23 |
| M36 | Celtic · Away11 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −1.19 |
| M37 | Dundee · Home14 May 2024 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.45 | −0.74 |
| M38 | Hearts · Away18 May 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.83 | −1.57 |
| Total | 85 | −1.57 | |||