Points
35Points expected by the market
36.37Gap
−1.37Yield
−18.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 20 | +0.33 | −20.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 15 | −1.70 | −17.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.63 | −45.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −0.43 | −20.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +1.96 | +29.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 8 | −1.27 | −15.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hearts · Home5 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.10 |
| M2 | Ross County · Away12 Aug 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.04 |
| M3 | Celtic · Away26 Aug 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.83 | −1.22 |
| M4 | Dundee · Home2 Sep 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | −1.45 |
| M5 | Rangers · Home16 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.40 | −1.84 |
| M6 | Hibernian · Away23 Sep 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −2.58 |
| M7 | Livingston · Home30 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −3.04 |
| M8 | Aberdeen · Away8 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | −2.68 |
| M9 | St Mirren · Away28 Oct 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.84 | −3.52 |
| M10 | Kilmarnock · Home1 Nov 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | −1.61 |
| M11 | Motherwell · Home7 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −1.95 |
| M12 | Ross County · Home11 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −0.38 |
| M13 | Hearts · Away25 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.63 | −1.01 |
| M14 | Celtic · Home3 Dec 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.37 | −1.38 |
| M15 | St Mirren · Home6 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.34 |
| M16 | Motherwell · Away9 Dec 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.19 |
| M17 | Hibernian · Home16 Dec 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +2.11 |
| M18 | Rangers · Away20 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.25 | +1.86 |
| M19 | Kilmarnock · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | +1.09 |
| M20 | Livingston · Away27 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.14 | +0.94 |
| M21 | Aberdeen · Home24 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +0.91 |
| M22 | Motherwell · Home27 Jan 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.46 |
| M23 | Ross County · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +2.31 |
| M24 | Hearts · Home7 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | +1.36 |
| M25 | Dundee · Away11 Feb 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | +0.45 |
| M26 | Rangers · Home18 Feb 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.41 | +0.04 |
| M27 | St Mirren · Away24 Feb 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −0.80 |
| M28 | Aberdeen · Away28 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.22 | +1.42 |
| M29 | Livingston · Home2 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +0.82 |
| M30 | Celtic · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.26 | +0.56 |
| M31 | Dundee · Home30 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.68 |
| M32 | Hibernian · Away6 Apr 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.31 | +1.64 |
| M33 | Kilmarnock · Home13 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | +0.63 |
| M34 | Hibernian · Home27 Apr 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.09 | −0.46 |
| M35 | Aberdeen · Away4 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.82 | −1.28 |
| M36 | Livingston · Away11 May 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.69 |
| M37 | Ross County · Home15 May 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −3.19 |
| M38 | Motherwell · Away19 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −1.37 |
| Total | 35 | −1.37 | |||