Points
47Points expected by the market
45.17Gap
+1.83Yield
−5.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +3.51 | +27.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 24 | −2.50 | −19.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 9 | +0.82 | −0.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.14 | +52.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +0.47 | −2.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −2.10 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.62 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −2.97 | −38.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +2.92 | +43.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hibernian · Away6 Aug 2023 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.97 | +1.97 |
| M2 | Dundee · Home12 Aug 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +3.42 |
| M3 | Aberdeen · Home27 Aug 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.47 | +2.95 |
| M4 | Livingston · Away2 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +2.53 |
| M5 | Motherwell · Away16 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.65 | +4.19 |
| M6 | Hearts · Home23 Sep 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +5.87 |
| M7 | Kilmarnock · Away30 Sep 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +5.74 |
| M8 | Rangers · Home8 Oct 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.75 | +4.99 |
| M9 | St Johnstone · Home28 Oct 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.11 | +6.10 |
| M10 | Celtic · Away1 Nov 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.36 | +5.74 |
| M11 | Hibernian · Home8 Nov 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +5.22 |
| M12 | Dundee · Away11 Nov 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.31 | +3.92 |
| M13 | Livingston · Home25 Nov 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +5.13 |
| M14 | Ross County · Away28 Nov 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +3.89 |
| M15 | Rangers · Away3 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.30 | +3.59 |
| M16 | St Johnstone · Away6 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | +2.20 |
| M17 | Ross County · Home9 Dec 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.60 |
| M18 | Motherwell · Home16 Dec 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.73 | +2.87 |
| M19 | Hearts · Away23 Dec 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +1.94 |
| M20 | Kilmarnock · Home27 Dec 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | +0.63 |
| M21 | Aberdeen · Away30 Dec 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +2.77 |
| M22 | Celtic · Home2 Jan 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.41 | +2.36 |
| M23 | Rangers · Home27 Jan 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.42 | +1.95 |
| M24 | Hibernian · Away3 Feb 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +4.01 |
| M25 | Dundee · Home7 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +5.51 |
| M26 | Livingston · Away17 Feb 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | +4.01 |
| M27 | St Johnstone · Home24 Feb 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +5.15 |
| M28 | Ross County · Away27 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | +4.52 |
| M29 | Aberdeen · Home2 Mar 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +6.01 |
| M30 | Kilmarnock · Away16 Mar 2024 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.01 | +5.00 |
| M31 | Motherwell · Away30 Mar 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +4.69 |
| M32 | Hearts · Home6 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +3.19 |
| M33 | Celtic · Away13 Apr 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.33 | +2.86 |
| M34 | Rangers · Home28 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.52 | +2.33 |
| M35 | Dundee · Away4 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +4.02 |
| M36 | Kilmarnock · Home11 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | +2.55 |
| M37 | Hearts · Home15 May 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | +2.15 |
| M38 | Celtic · Away18 May 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.32 | +1.83 |
| Total | 47 | +1.83 | |||