Points
53Points expected by the market
52.65Gap
+0.35Yield
−18.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 35 | +6.14 | +26.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 13 | −4.78 | −45.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −1.01 | −57.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 26 | +2.41 | +11.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +0.78 | −19.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +0.50 | +27.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.73 | +90.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 8 | −5.56 | −52.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 2 | −1.51 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St Johnstone · Away5 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.24 |
| M2 | St Mirren · Home11 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.34 |
| M3 | Kilmarnock · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +3.47 |
| M4 | Ross County · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +4.66 |
| M5 | Motherwell · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.06 | +5.72 |
| M6 | Dundee · Away28 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +7.16 |
| M7 | Hearts · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.21 | +8.38 |
| M8 | Celtic · Away19 Oct 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.64 | +9.02 |
| M9 | Dundee United · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +10.19 |
| M10 | Rangers · Home30 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.99 | +12.18 |
| M11 | Dundee · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.22 | +13.40 |
| M12 | St Mirren · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +12.02 |
| M13 | Hibernian · Away26 Nov 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.30 | +11.71 |
| M14 | Hearts · Away1 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | +11.75 |
| M15 | Celtic · Home4 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.43 | +11.32 |
| M16 | St Johnstone · Home7 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | +10.32 |
| M17 | Hibernian · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.65 | +8.66 |
| M18 | Kilmarnock · Away26 Dec 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.29 | +7.37 |
| M19 | Dundee United · Away29 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +6.19 |
| M20 | Ross County · Home2 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.93 | +4.26 |
| M21 | Motherwell · Away5 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +2.89 |
| M22 | Hearts · Home12 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.51 |
| M23 | Rangers · Away15 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.35 | +2.16 |
| M24 | St Mirren · Home25 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.68 | +0.48 |
| M25 | Hibernian · Away1 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.43 |
| M26 | Dundee · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.18 |
| M27 | Kilmarnock · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.55 |
| M28 | Celtic · Away25 Feb 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.27 | +2.29 |
| M29 | Dundee United · Home2 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | +1.63 |
| M30 | St Johnstone · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | +1.16 |
| M31 | Motherwell · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.23 |
| M32 | Ross County · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +3.53 |
| M33 | Rangers · Home13 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | +3.13 |
| M34 | Hibernian · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +4.68 |
| M35 | St Mirren · Away3 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.25 | +3.43 |
| M36 | Rangers · Away11 May 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.66 | +2.77 |
| M37 | Celtic · Home14 May 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.06 | +1.71 |
| M38 | Dundee United · Away17 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | +0.35 |
| Total | 53 | +0.35 | |||